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Lancaster weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
57°
Clear
Feels 57° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 82%
AmericanNOAA GFS
55°
Clear
Feels 53° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 71%
EuropeanECMWF
62°
Clear
Feels 61° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 64%

Latest for Lancaster: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 57° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 55° Clear · European (ECMWF): 62° Clear.

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Lancaster weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Lancaster…

Lancaster weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Lancaster swings 57°F across the year, from 94°F highs in August to 37°F lows in January, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 40 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 195 days a year at 77°F or above, 119 of them at 86°F or above, 17 frost nights, and rain on 112 days.

Warmest month
August
94°F average high
Coldest month
January
37°F average low
Wettest month
May
40 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
February, March, April and October
Residents
39,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
87/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
195 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
17 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
112 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Lancaster’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lancaster and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Lancaster hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Lancaster 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Lancaster, Texas (TX) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 94°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 37°F), with roughly 40 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lancaster right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lancaster climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
55°
37°
Feb
60°
41°
Mar
67°
48°
Apr
73°
56°
May
82°
65°
Jun
89°
71°
Jul
93°
75°
Aug
94°
74°
Sep
86°
68°
Oct
77°
58°
Nov
65°
47°
Dec
57°
39°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Lancaster has changed since 1995

Lancaster sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Arlington. That square ran 1.3°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Arlington page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Lancaster?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F98±0.6 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #2
78±2.2°F94±2.0 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Lancaster today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Lancaster today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lancaster today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Lancaster and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lancaster?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lancaster (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lancaster?
August is typically the warmest month in Lancaster, with average highs around 94°F.
How cold does Lancaster get?
The coldest month in Lancaster is January, when overnight lows average about 37°F.
How much rain does Lancaster get?
Lancaster sees roughly 40 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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