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North Carolina weather today

We follow 151 towns and cities in North Carolina, each with NWS, American, European side by side and the days they disagree flagged. Today the three models put highs between 72°F in Winston-Salem and 85°F in Wilmington, and at least one model gives a 50% or higher chance of rain in 22 of the 22 places we hold today's forecast for.

Numbers from the forecast run of Saturday, October 3. Open any town for the live, hour-by-hour comparison.

Weather in North Carolina's largest cities today

consensus of NWS, American, European, forecast run of Saturday, October 3
CityTodayHigh / lowRain chanceTomorrowModels agree
CharlotteRain81°F / 65°F100%Light rain, 68°FMedium (6°F apart)
RaleighDrizzle79°F / 65°F80%Light rain, 70°FHigh (1°F apart)
West RaleighDrizzle78°F / 65°F80%Light rain, 70°FHigh (2°F apart)
GreensboroLight rain73°F / 59°F63%Drizzle, 67°FHigh (3°F apart)
DurhamLight rain76°F / 63°F76%Heavy drizzle, 70°FHigh (2°F apart)
Winston-SalemDrizzle72°F / 59°F69%Light drizzle, 67°FHigh (1°F apart)
FayettevilleRain81°F / 70°F100%Rain, 74°FHigh (4°F apart)
CaryLight rain78°F / 65°F80%Light rain, 70°FHigh (2°F apart)
WilmingtonShowers85°F / 72°F100%Showers, 79°FHigh (3°F apart)
High PointRain73°F / 60°F67%Drizzle, 67°FHigh (1°F apart)
AshevilleLight rain79°F / 63°F100%Heavy drizzle, 71°FMedium (5°F apart)
GreenvilleRain84°F / 69°F100%Rain, 75°FHigh (2°F apart)
ConcordRain80°F / 64°F95%Light rain, 69°FMedium (5°F apart)
GastoniaRain82°F / 65°F99%Light rain, 68°FMedium (7°F apart)
JacksonvilleHeavy showers85°F / 71°F100%Rain, 78°FHigh (3°F apart)
Chapel HillDrizzle76°F / 63°F76%Light rain, 70°FHigh (4°F apart)
Rocky MountHeavy drizzle78°F / 66°F77%Light rain, 73°FHigh
HuntersvilleLight rain80°F / 63°F91%Light rain, 68°FMedium (5°F apart)
BurlingtonLight rain74°F / 61°F69%Light drizzle, 69°FHigh (1°F apart)
WilsonDrizzle80°F / 67°F84%Light rain, 73°FHigh

Rain chance is the highest of the three models. "Models agree" compares their forecast highs, the same confidence rule as on every city page.

North Carolina weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts in North Carolina…

Today across North Carolina

from the latest model run, Saturday, October 3
Warmest today
85.0°F
Wilmington, NC
  1. Jacksonville, NC84.7°F
  2. Greenville, NC83.7°F
  3. Gastonia, NC81.9°F
  4. Fayetteville, NC80.8°F
Coldest low today
59.2°F
Winston-Salem, NC
  1. Greensboro, NC59.5°F
  2. Asheville, NC62.8°F
  3. Chapel Hill, NC62.8°F
  4. Kannapolis, NC62.9°F
Rain most certain
67%
Jacksonville, NC
  1. Fayetteville, NC66%
  2. Greenville, NC63%
  3. Wilson, NC60%
  4. Kannapolis, NC58%
Windiest
12 mph
Winston-Salem, NC
  1. Huntersville, NC12 mph
  2. Greensboro, NC12 mph
  3. Wilson, NC10 mph
  4. Apex, NC10 mph

Warmest and coldest use the average of NWS, American, European. "Rain most certain" ranks by the lowest chance among the models that give one (at least two), so a place only makes the list when they agree, and only from 30%. One place per area, so the list spreads across the state.

The past week across North Carolina

analysed, the seven days September 22 to September 28
Warmest
79.0°F
Kings Mountain, NC
  1. Leland, NC78.4°F
  2. Lumberton, NC78.1°F
  3. Piney Green, NC77.8°F
  4. Charlotte, NC77.7°F
Coolest
71.3°F
Mount Airy, NC
  1. Boone, NC71.3°F
  2. Waynesville, NC71.3°F
  3. Asheville, NC72.1°F
  4. Eden, NC72.5°F
Sunniest
79%
Waynesville, NC
  1. Gastonia, NC75%
  2. Morganton, NC75%
  3. Asheville, NC74%
  4. Boone, NC74%
Least wind
3 mph
Waynesville, NC
  1. Asheville, NC3 mph
  2. Boone, NC3 mph
  3. Morganton, NC3 mph
  4. Gastonia, NC3 mph
Windiest
17 mph
Kill Devil Hills, NC
  1. Morehead City, NC13 mph
  2. Piney Green, NC9 mph
  3. Elizabeth City, NC8 mph
  4. Wilmington, NC7 mph

Estimates from NASA POWER (GEOS-IT weather analysis, FLASHFlux satellite sunlight), not forecasts or station readings. Warmest and coolest are the average daily high. "Sunniest" is the sunlight that reached the ground as a share of what a clear sky would give at that latitude and date (FAO-56 clear-sky formula, approximate). Each value covers an area of about 50 km around the town, so one town per area. Rain is left out because weekly rain estimates differ too much between data sources to rank them honestly. The week ends a few days back because the sunlight data arrives with a delay.

Which forecast is most accurate in North Carolina?

Over the last 30 days we graded the models in 39 North Carolina cities against the recorded weather. The European model was most accurate in 39 of them. No model wins everywhere, which is why each city page names its own winner.

Charlotte: European 88/100Raleigh: European 88/100West Raleigh: European 88/100Greensboro: European 92/100Durham: European 92/100Winston-Salem: European 92/100Fayetteville: European 93/100Cary: European 88/100Wilmington: European 89/100High Point: European 89/100Asheville: European 73/100Greenville: European 96/100

How we grade: the US accuracy scoreboard and our method.

North Carolina climate, city by city

Across the 83 North Carolina places we hold long-run averages for, typical July highs run from 81°F in Kill Devil Hills to 91°F in Forest City, and January highs from 48°F in Asheville to 59°F in Kings Grant. Kings Grant is the wettest at about 60 in of precipitation a year, Asheville the driest at about 38 in.

CityJan highJul highWettest monthRain per year
Charlotte54°F90°FSeptember46 in
Raleigh55°F90°FSeptember46 in
West Raleigh55°F90°FSeptember46 in
Greensboro52°F89°FAugust40 in
Durham54°F90°FSeptember47 in
Winston-Salem51°F90°FJanuary41 in
Fayetteville57°F90°FAugust48 in
Cary54°F90°FSeptember47 in
Wilmington59°F87°FSeptember59 in
High Point52°F89°FSeptember41 in
Asheville48°F85°FSeptember38 in
Greenville57°F89°FAugust50 in
Concord54°F90°FAugust43 in
Gastonia54°F91°FSeptember47 in
Jacksonville59°F89°FAugust55 in

Averages from ERA5 reanalysis, the same source as the climate tables on each city page.

All 151 places in North Carolina

every town and city we cover, A to Z

Common questions

What is the weather in North Carolina today?
Today the three models put highs between 72°F in Winston-Salem and 85°F in Wilmington, and at least one model gives a 50% or higher chance of rain in 22 of the 22 places we hold today's forecast for. Open any town on this page for the live, hour-by-hour comparison.
Where is it warmest in North Carolina today?
Wilmington has the highest forecast high of the 22 North Carolina places we hold today's forecast for, near 85°F. Winston-Salem is the coolest, near 72°F.
Which weather forecast is most accurate in North Carolina?
Over the last 30 days we graded the models in 39 North Carolina cities against the recorded weather. The European model was most accurate in 39 of them.
What is the climate like in North Carolina?
Across the 83 North Carolina places we hold long-run averages for, typical July highs run from 81°F in Kill Devil Hills to 91°F in Forest City, and January highs from 48°F in Asheville to 59°F in Kings Grant. Kings Grant is the wettest at about 60 in of precipitation a year, Asheville the driest at about 38 in.

More US weather

All 50 statesWhich forecast is most accurate in the United States?US rain radarAll US cities, A to Z