Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Cary weather

Loading live data…

Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 66° in Cary today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 69°, with a 0% chance of rain.

66°48°
69°50°
69°45°
72°46°
68°50°
70°51°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
66°
Mostly clear
Today 66°·Low 48°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
67°
Cloudy
Today 67°·Low 47°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
65°
Partly cloudy
Today 65°·Low 48°·Rain 0%
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Cary weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Cary…

Cary weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Cary swings 56°F across the year, from 89°F highs in July to 33°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 50 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 154 days a year at 77°F or above, 71 of them at 86°F or above, 36 frost nights, and rain on 126 days.

Warmest month
July
89°F average high
Coldest month
January
33°F average low
Wettest month
August
50 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and October
Residents
160,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
97/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
154 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
36 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
126 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Cary’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Cary and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Cary hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Cary 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
66° 48°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
69° 50°
models agree
Mon
Clear
69° 45°
models agree
Tue
Clear
72° 46°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
68° 50°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
70° 51°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
75° 50°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
73° 53°
±7°
Sun
Cloudy
71° 52°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
67° 56°
±14°
Tue
Cloudy
66° 51°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
64° 49°
±8°
Thu
Cloudy
70° 46°
models agree

Cary, North Carolina (NC) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 33°F), with roughly 50 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Cary right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Cary climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
49°
33°
Feb
53°
35°
Mar
61°
41°
Apr
71°
50°
May
78°
59°
Jun
86°
66°
Jul
89°
71°
Aug
88°
69°
Sep
80°
63°
Oct
71°
52°
Nov
60°
42°
Dec
53°
36°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Cary has changed since 1995

Cary sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Raleigh. That square ran 2.3°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Raleigh page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Cary?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
97±0.3°F98±0.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F97±1.1 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°65° to 67°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°68° to 70°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±4°67° to 70°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°71° to 73°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wedmodels agree68° to 68°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cary

today, local time
Sunrise
07:29
Sunset
18:28
Daylight
10h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cary today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 66° in Cary today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 69°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Cary today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Cary on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cary?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cary (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cary?
July is typically the warmest month in Cary, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Cary get?
The coldest month in Cary is January, when overnight lows average about 33°F.
How much rain does Cary get?
Cary sees roughly 50 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather