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CheckWeather USCary
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 7°F

Cary weather

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Heavy showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Cary's high today between 89° and 96°, a 7° split. Tomorrow looks light rain around 81°, with a 72% chance of rain.

93°74°
81°71°
83°66°
85°64°
88°66°
93°69°
Todaysplit ±7°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
96°
Heavy showers
Today 96°·Low 75°·Rain 42%
AmericanNOAA GFS
95°
Cloudy
Today 95°·Low 73°·Rain 42%
EuropeanECMWF
89°
Thunderstorm
Today 89°·Low 74°·Rain 79%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Cary and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy showers
93° 74°
±7°
Tomorrow
Light rain
81° 71°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
83° 66°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
85° 64°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
88° 66°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
93° 69°
±5°
Fri
Drizzle
91° 72°
±9°
Sat
Light drizzle
88° 70°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
90° 71°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
92° 73°
±10°
Tue
Light drizzle
85° 69°
±16°
Wed
Thunderstorm
80° 66°
±5°
Thu
Showers
75° 63°
±7°
Fri
Showers
74° 61°
±11°

Cary, NC is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 38°F), with roughly 47 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Cary right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Cary climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
54°
38°
Feb
59°
41°
Mar
64°
44°
Apr
73°
52°
May
78°
59°
Jun
86°
66°
Jul
90°
72°
Aug
88°
69°
Sep
81°
64°
Oct
72°
53°
Nov
63°
45°
Dec
55°
38°

Which forecast is most accurate in Cary?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F97±0.9 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
68
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F94±1.9 mph2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±7°89° to 96°±37%42% to 79% chance
Tomorrow±4°80° to 83°±40%32% to 72% chance
Mon±3°82° to 85°±12%10% to 22% chance
Tue±3°84° to 87°±3%1% to 4% chance
Wed±2°87° to 89°±39%2% to 41% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cary

today, local time
Sunrise
06:50
Sunset
19:37
Daylight
12h 47m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cary today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Cary today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Cary today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Cary and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cary?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cary (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 68. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cary?
July is typically the warmest month in Cary, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Cary get?
The coldest month in Cary is January, when overnight lows average about 38°F.
How much rain does Cary get?
Cary sees roughly 47 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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