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Kernersville weather

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Kernersville weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Kernersville weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Kernersville swings 59°F across the year, from 89°F highs in July to 30°F lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 49 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 146 days a year at 77°F or above, 67 of them at 86°F or above, 50 frost nights, and rain on 119 days.

Warmest month
July
89°F average high
Coldest month
January
30°F average low
Wettest month
July
49 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
April, May and October
Residents
24,000
share this forecast
Warm days
146 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
50 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
119 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Kernersville’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Kernersville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Kernersville hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Kernersville 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Kernersville, North Carolina (NC) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 30°F), with roughly 49 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Kernersville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Kernersville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
46°
30°
Feb
51°
32°
Mar
59°
38°
Apr
70°
48°
May
77°
57°
Jun
86°
65°
Jul
89°
69°
Aug
86°
67°
Sep
79°
61°
Oct
70°
49°
Nov
59°
40°
Dec
50°
33°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Kernersville has changed since 1995

Kernersville sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Greensboro. That square ran 2.0°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Greensboro page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Kernersville today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Kernersville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Kernersville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Kernersville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kernersville?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Kernersville forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Kernersville?
July is typically the warmest month in Kernersville, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Kernersville get?
The coldest month in Kernersville is January, when overnight lows average about 30°F.
How much rain does Kernersville get?
Kernersville sees roughly 49 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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