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CheckWeather USWesley Chapel

Wesley Chapel weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
77°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 84° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 91%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Overcast
Feels 82° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 74%
EuropeanECMWF
75°
Light drizzle
Feels 78° · Wind 12 mph · Humidity 85%

Latest for Wesley Chapel: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 77° Heavy drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 78° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 75° Light drizzle.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Wesley Chapel and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Wesley Chapel, NC is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 37°F), with roughly 45 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Wesley Chapel right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Wesley Chapel climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
55°
38°
Feb
60°
42°
Mar
65°
45°
Apr
73°
52°
May
78°
59°
Jun
86°
66°
Jul
90°
72°
Aug
87°
69°
Sep
81°
64°
Oct
73°
53°
Nov
64°
45°
Dec
55°
37°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F93±2.2 mph4972% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Wesley Chapel today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Wesley Chapel today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Wesley Chapel today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Wesley Chapel and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wesley Chapel?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Wesley Chapel forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Wesley Chapel?
July is typically the warmest month in Wesley Chapel, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Wesley Chapel get?
The coldest month in Wesley Chapel is December, when overnight lows average about 37°F.
How much rain does Wesley Chapel get?
Wesley Chapel sees roughly 45 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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