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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Rocky Mount weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 68° in Rocky Mount today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 70°, with a 0% chance of rain.

68°48°
70°50°
69°45°
72°46°
69°50°
71°51°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
59°
Clear
Feels 56° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 77%
AmericanNOAA GFS
57°
Mainly clear
Feels 52° · Wind 11 mph · Humidity 68%
EuropeanECMWF
57°
Clear
Feels 52° · Wind 10 mph · Humidity 74%

Latest for Rocky Mount: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 59° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 57° Mainly clear · European (ECMWF): 57° Clear.

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Rocky Mount weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Rocky Mount…

Rocky Mount weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Rocky Mount swings 55°F across the year, from 88°F highs in July to 33°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 46 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 158 days a year at 77°F or above, 72 of them at 86°F or above, 37 frost nights, and rain on 123 days.

Warmest month
July
88°F average high
Coldest month
January
33°F average low
Wettest month
August
46 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and October
Residents
56,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
98/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
158 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
37 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
123 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Rocky Mount’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Rocky Mount and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Rocky Mount hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Rocky Mount 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
68° 48°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
70° 50°
models agree
Mon
Clear
69° 45°
models agree
Tue
Clear
72° 46°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
69° 50°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
71° 51°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
75° 50°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
73° 52°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
72° 51°
±4°
Mon
Drizzle
68° 56°
±18°
Tue
Drizzle
67° 52°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
65° 49°
±9°
Thu
Cloudy
71° 45°
models agree

Rocky Mount, North Carolina (NC) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 33°F), with roughly 46 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Rocky Mount right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Rocky Mount climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
51°
33°
Feb
53°
35°
Mar
60°
40°
Apr
71°
50°
May
77°
58°
Jun
85°
65°
Jul
88°
71°
Aug
86°
69°
Sep
80°
63°
Oct
72°
52°
Nov
60°
42°
Dec
54°
35°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Rocky Mount's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+2.2°F

Around Rocky Mount, 2015-2024 averaged 2.2°F warmer than 1995-2004. 7 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2019.

1995: −1.8°F vs the 30-year average1996: −2.9°F vs the 30-year average1997: −1.8°F vs the 30-year average1998: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average1999: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2000: −2.4°F vs the 30-year average2001: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2002: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average2003: −1.8°F vs the 30-year average2004: −0.9°F vs the 30-year average2005: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2006: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2007: +1.4°F vs the 30-year average2008: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2009: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2010: −0.7°F vs the 30-year average2011: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2012: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average2013: −1.3°F vs the 30-year average2014: −1.8°F vs the 30-year average2015: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average2016: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2017: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2018: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2019: +2.0°F vs the 30-year average2020: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2021: +0.5°F vs the 30-year average2022: +1.4°F vs the 30-year average2023: +2.0°F vs the 30-year average2024: +1.8°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 95°F

1 more day a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −7 vs the 30-year average1996: −12 vs the 30-year average1997: −1 vs the 30-year average1998: −1 vs the 30-year average1999: +21 vs the 30-year average2000: −10 vs the 30-year average2001: −9 vs the 30-year average2002: +24 vs the 30-year average2003: −13 vs the 30-year average2004: −12 vs the 30-year average2005: +6 vs the 30-year average2006: −7 vs the 30-year average2007: +13 vs the 30-year average2008: +4 vs the 30-year average2009: −9 vs the 30-year average2010: +24 vs the 30-year average2011: +16 vs the 30-year average2012: +4 vs the 30-year average2013: −13 vs the 30-year average2014: −12 vs the 30-year average2015: +1 vs the 30-year average2016: −7 vs the 30-year average2017: −9 vs the 30-year average2018: −8 vs the 30-year average2019: +7 vs the 30-year average2020: −8 vs the 30-year average2021: −13 vs the 30-year average2022: +19 vs the 30-year average2023: +7 vs the 30-year average2024: +4 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

14 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F

1995: +16 vs the 30-year average1996: +21 vs the 30-year average1997: −3 vs the 30-year average1998: −14 vs the 30-year average1999: −4 vs the 30-year average2000: +16 vs the 30-year average2001: −1 vs the 30-year average2002: +6 vs the 30-year average2003: +12 vs the 30-year average2004: +15 vs the 30-year average2005: +10 vs the 30-year average2006: −14 vs the 30-year average2007: −1 vs the 30-year average2008: −2 vs the 30-year average2009: +5 vs the 30-year average2010: +26 vs the 30-year average2011: −3 vs the 30-year average2012: −22 vs the 30-year average2013: +10 vs the 30-year average2014: +20 vs the 30-year average2015: −3 vs the 30-year average2016: +1 vs the 30-year average2017: −10 vs the 30-year average2018: +1 vs the 30-year average2019: −14 vs the 30-year average2020: −15 vs the 30-year average2021: −6 vs the 30-year average2022: +5 vs the 30-year average2023: −27 vs the 30-year average2024: −15 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −3% vs the 30-year average1996: +5% vs the 30-year average1997: −1% vs the 30-year average1998: −1% vs the 30-year average1999: +5% vs the 30-year average2000: +2% vs the 30-year average2001: −3% vs the 30-year average2002: +2% vs the 30-year average2003: +2% vs the 30-year average2004: −1% vs the 30-year average2005: +2% vs the 30-year average2006: −1% vs the 30-year average2007: −1% vs the 30-year average2008: +5% vs the 30-year average2009: +2% vs the 30-year average2010: −1% vs the 30-year average2011: −1% vs the 30-year average2012: −3% vs the 30-year average2013: +2% vs the 30-year average2014: −1% vs the 30-year average2015: −3% vs the 30-year average2016: −1% vs the 30-year average2017: +2% vs the 30-year average2018: +2% vs the 30-year average2019: −1% vs the 30-year average2020: +2% vs the 30-year average2021: −3% vs the 30-year average2022: −1% vs the 30-year average2023: −3% vs the 30-year average2024: −3% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >95°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−1.8°F−7+16−3%
1996−2.9°F−12+21+5%
1997−1.8°F−1−3−1%
1998+0.7°F−1−14−1%
1999−0.4°F+21−4+5%
2000−2.4°F−10+16+2%
2001−0.2°F−9−1−3%
2002+0.9°F+24+6+2%
2003−1.8°F−13+12+2%
2004−0.9°F−12+15−1%
2005−0.2°F+6+10+2%
2006±0.0°F−7−14−1%
2007+1.4°F+13−1−1%
2008+0.3°F+4−2+5%
2009−0.4°F−9+5+2%
2010−0.7°F+24+26−1%
2011+0.7°F+16−3−1%
2012+0.9°F+4−22−3%
2013−1.3°F−13+10+2%
2014−1.8°F−12+20−1%
2015+0.9°F+1−3−3%
2016+0.2°F−7+1−1%
2017+1.2°F−9−10+2%
2018+0.7°F−8+1+2%
2019+2.0°F+7−14−1%
2020+1.2°F−8−15+2%
2021+0.5°F−13−6−3%
2022+1.4°F+19+5−1%
2023+2.0°F+7−27−3%
2024+1.8°F+4−15−3%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Rocky Mount, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Rocky Mount?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
97±0.3°F98±0.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F96±1.4 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°68° to 69°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°70° to 71°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°68° to 70°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°71° to 73°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°69° to 70°±1%1% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Rocky Mount

today, local time
Sunrise
07:26
Sunset
18:24
Daylight
10h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Rocky Mount today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 68° in Rocky Mount today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 70°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Rocky Mount today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Rocky Mount on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rocky Mount?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Rocky Mount (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Rocky Mount?
July is typically the warmest month in Rocky Mount, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Rocky Mount get?
The coldest month in Rocky Mount is January, when overnight lows average about 33°F.
How much rain does Rocky Mount get?
Rocky Mount sees roughly 46 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.
Is Rocky Mount getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Rocky Mount, 2015-2024 averaged 2.2°F warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

NashvilleTarboroWilsonGreenvilleWendellWintervilleRoanoke RapidsRolesville

More US weather

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