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CheckWeather USRocky Mount
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Rocky Mount weather

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Thunderstorm,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Rocky Mount's high today between 88° and 93°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 81°, with a 45% chance of rain.

91°72°
81°70°
83°65°
86°63°
89°65°
93°69°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
93°
Thunderstorm
Today 93°·Low 74°·Rain 40%
AmericanNOAA GFS
91°
Cloudy
Today 91°·Low 72°·Rain 40%
EuropeanECMWF
88°
Thunderstorm
Today 88°·Low 71°·Rain 98%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Rocky Mount and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Thunderstorm
91° 72°
±5°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
81° 70°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
83° 65°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
86° 63°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
89° 65°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
93° 69°
±6°
Fri
Light rain
90° 73°
±13°
Sat
Light rain
89° 70°
±9°
Sun
Light drizzle
91° 70°
±7°
Mon
Light drizzle
92° 73°
±10°
Tue
Light drizzle
86° 69°
±19°
Wed
Thunderstorm
85° 66°
±16°
Thu
Showers
75° 64°
±5°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
74° 62°
±9°

Rocky Mount, NC is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 89°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 37°F), with roughly 46 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Rocky Mount right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Rocky Mount climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
56°
38°
Feb
59°
41°
Mar
64°
44°
Apr
73°
52°
May
78°
59°
Jun
86°
66°
Jul
89°
72°
Aug
87°
70°
Sep
81°
64°
Oct
73°
53°
Nov
63°
45°
Dec
56°
37°

Which forecast is most accurate in Rocky Mount?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
93±0.7°F97±0.8 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
71
/100rank #2
91±0.9°F96±1.4 mph2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°88° to 93°±58%40% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±4°79° to 83°±11%34% to 45% chance
Mon±2°82° to 84°±9%6% to 15% chance
Tue±3°84° to 87°±5%1% to 6% chance
Wed±4°87° to 91°±13%3% to 16% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Rocky Mount

today, local time
Sunrise
06:46
Sunset
19:33
Daylight
12h 47m

Common questions

What's the weather in Rocky Mount today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Rocky Mount today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Rocky Mount today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Rocky Mount and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rocky Mount?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Rocky Mount (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 71. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Rocky Mount?
July is typically the warmest month in Rocky Mount, with average highs around 89°F.
How cold does Rocky Mount get?
The coldest month in Rocky Mount is December, when overnight lows average about 37°F.
How much rain does Rocky Mount get?
Rocky Mount sees roughly 46 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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