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CheckWeather USFayetteville
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Fayetteville weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 99° in Fayetteville today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 86°, with a 81% chance of rain.

99°76°
86°72°
84°69°
86°65°
89°67°
92°70°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
98°
Showers
Today 98°·Low 77°·Rain 41%
AmericanNOAA GFS
101°
Heavy rain
Today 101°·Low 73°·Rain 41%
EuropeanECMWF
99°
Thunderstorm
Today 99°·Low 77°·Rain 82%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Fayetteville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
99° 76°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
86° 72°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
84° 69°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
86° 65°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
89° 67°
±5°
Thu
Mostly clear
92° 70°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
92° 73°
±6°
Sat
Drizzle
90° 72°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
91° 73°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
92° 74°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
86° 70°
±14°
Wed
Thunderstorm
84° 67°
±11°
Thu
Showers
77° 66°
±5°
Fri
Drizzle
79° 63°
±5°

Fayetteville, NC is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 90°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 39°F), with roughly 48 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Fayetteville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Fayetteville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
57°
39°
Feb
61°
42°
Mar
67°
47°
Apr
74°
53°
May
79°
61°
Jun
87°
67°
Jul
90°
73°
Aug
88°
71°
Sep
82°
65°
Oct
73°
54°
Nov
65°
46°
Dec
57°
39°

Which forecast is most accurate in Fayetteville?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±0.9 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
67
/100rank #2
77±2.3°F93±2.2 mph3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°98° to 101°±41%41% to 82% chance
Tomorrow±5°84° to 89°±59%22% to 81% chance
Mon±3°82° to 86°±28%17% to 45% chance
Tue±1°86° to 87°±18%4% to 22% chance
Wed±5°88° to 92°±33%6% to 39% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Fayetteville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:51
Sunset
19:36
Daylight
12h 45m

Common questions

What's the weather in Fayetteville today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Fayetteville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Fayetteville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Fayetteville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fayetteville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Fayetteville (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 67. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Fayetteville?
July is typically the warmest month in Fayetteville, with average highs around 90°F.
How cold does Fayetteville get?
The coldest month in Fayetteville is January, when overnight lows average about 39°F.
How much rain does Fayetteville get?
Fayetteville sees roughly 48 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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