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CheckWeather USMira Mesa
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 7°F

Mira Mesa weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Mira Mesa's high today between 81° and 88°, a 7° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 84°, with a 50% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

84°62°
84°70°
88°70°
87°72°
89°73°
86°73°
Todaysplit ±7°Tomorrowsplit ±11°Mondaysplit ±11°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
85°
Partly cloudy
Feels 89° · Wind 10 mph · Humidity 63%
AmericanNOAA GFS
87°
Overcast
Feels 88° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 45%
EuropeanECMWF
84°
Clear
Feels 86° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 56%

Latest for Mira Mesa: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 85° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 87° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 84° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Mira Mesa and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
84° 62°
±7°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
84° 70°
±11°
Mon
Cloudy
88° 70°
±11°
Tue
Partly cloudy
87° 72°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
89° 73°
models agree
Thu
Clear
86° 73°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
82° 70°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
79° 69°
±4°
Sun
Partly cloudy
78° 67°
±5°
Mon
Partly cloudy
79° 67°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
81° 67°
±7°
Wed
Light drizzle
82° 70°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
80° 69°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
81° 68°
±6°

Mira Mesa, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 44°F), with roughly 23 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Mira Mesa right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Mira Mesa climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
62°
45°
Feb
61°
44°
Mar
62°
47°
Apr
67°
50°
May
68°
55°
Jun
74°
59°
Jul
83°
64°
Aug
83°
65°
Sep
80°
63°
Oct
80°
58°
Nov
73°
49°
Dec
69°
47°

Which forecast is most accurate in Mira Mesa?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
83±1.7°F95±1.5 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
65
/100rank #2
30±7.0°F97±0.8 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±7°81° to 88°±12%6% to 18% chance
Tomorrow±11°78° to 89°±40%10% to 50% chance
Mon±11°82° to 93°±8%2% to 10% chance
Tue±4°85° to 89°±7%6% to 13% chance
Wed±4°88° to 92°±11%4% to 15% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mira Mesa

today, local time
Sunrise
06:26
Sunset
19:08
Daylight
12h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mira Mesa today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Mira Mesa today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mira Mesa today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Mira Mesa and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mira Mesa?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Mira Mesa (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the European at 65. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mira Mesa?
July is typically the warmest month in Mira Mesa, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Mira Mesa get?
The coldest month in Mira Mesa is February, when overnight lows average about 44°F.
How much rain does Mira Mesa get?
Mira Mesa sees roughly 23 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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