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CheckWeather USLa Mesa
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 7°F

La Mesa weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put La Mesa's high today between 86° and 93°, a 7° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 89°, with a 39% chance of rain.

90°63°
89°73°
94°73°
93°75°
94°76°
89°74°
Todaysplit ±7°Tomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaysplit ±8°Tuesdaysplit ±9°Wednesdaysplit ±10°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
86°
Partly cloudy
Today 86°·Low 66°·Rain 6%
AmericanNOAA GFS
93°
Fog
Today 93°·Low 61°·Rain 6%
EuropeanECMWF
92°
Cloudy
Today 92°·Low 62°·Rain 39%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around La Mesa and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
90° 63°
±7°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
89° 73°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
94° 73°
±8°
Tue
Cloudy
93° 75°
±9°
Wed
Light drizzle
94° 76°
±10°
Thu
Clear
89° 74°
±6°
Fri
Clear
84° 71°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
81° 69°
±5°
Sun
Mostly clear
81° 66°
±8°
Mon
Mostly clear
81° 67°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
84° 67°
±5°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
86° 71°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
85° 69°
±8°
Fri
Mostly clear
85° 70°
±14°

La Mesa, CA is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 45°F), with roughly 19 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for La Mesa right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

La Mesa climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
63°
45°
Feb
62°
45°
Mar
62°
47°
Apr
68°
51°
May
70°
55°
Jun
75°
59°
Jul
82°
63°
Aug
84°
64°
Sep
80°
63°
Oct
80°
58°
Nov
73°
50°
Dec
69°
48°

Which forecast is most accurate in La Mesa?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F99±0.3 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
90
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F94±2.0 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±7°86° to 93°±33%6% to 39% chance
Tomorrow±5°87° to 91°±31%8% to 39% chance
Mon±8°89° to 96°±3%3% to 6% chance
Tue±9°88° to 98°±10%4% to 14% chance
Wed±10°90° to 100°±15%2% to 17% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in La Mesa

today, local time
Sunrise
06:25
Sunset
19:07
Daylight
12h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in La Mesa today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for La Mesa today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in La Mesa today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for La Mesa and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for La Mesa?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for La Mesa (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in La Mesa?
August is typically the warmest month in La Mesa, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does La Mesa get?
The coldest month in La Mesa is January, when overnight lows average about 45°F.
How much rain does La Mesa get?
La Mesa sees roughly 19 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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