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CheckWeather USPoway
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Poway weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Poway's high today between 88° and 93°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks heavy drizzle around 90°, with a 51% chance of rain.

91°62°
90°73°
94°72°
95°75°
97°77°
95°76°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaysplit ±8°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
88°
Partly cloudy
Today 88°·Low 66°·Rain 5%
AmericanNOAA GFS
92°
Fog
Today 92°·Low 58°·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
93°
Cloudy
Today 93°·Low 63°·Rain 37%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Poway and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
91° 62°
±5°
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
90° 73°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
94° 72°
±5°
Tue
Partly cloudy
95° 75°
±7°
Wed
Light drizzle
97° 77°
±8°
Thu
Clear
95° 76°
±7°
Fri
Clear
89° 72°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
84° 68°
±4°
Sun
Mostly clear
85° 66°
±6°
Mon
Mostly clear
86° 67°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
89° 68°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
91° 73°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
88° 71°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
89° 71°
±12°

Poway, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 86°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 44°F), with roughly 28 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Poway right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Poway climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
61°
44°
Feb
61°
44°
Mar
61°
46°
Apr
67°
49°
May
69°
54°
Jun
76°
58°
Jul
86°
63°
Aug
86°
64°
Sep
82°
63°
Oct
81°
58°
Nov
73°
50°
Dec
69°
47°

Which forecast is most accurate in Poway?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F98±0.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
91
/100rank #2
90±1.0°F96±1.1 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°88° to 93°±32%5% to 37% chance
Tomorrow±4°88° to 92°±41%10% to 51% chance
Mon±5°91° to 97°±2%3% to 5% chance
Tue±7°91° to 98°±10%6% to 16% chance
Wed±8°93° to 101°±12%6% to 18% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Poway

today, local time
Sunrise
06:25
Sunset
19:07
Daylight
12h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in Poway today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Poway today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Poway today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Poway and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Poway?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Poway (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 91. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Poway?
July is typically the warmest month in Poway, with average highs around 86°F.
How cold does Poway get?
The coldest month in Poway is January, when overnight lows average about 44°F.
How much rain does Poway get?
Poway sees roughly 28 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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