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CheckWeather USRancho Penasquitos
Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 9°F

Rancho Penasquitos weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Rancho Penasquitos's high today between 84° and 93°, a 9° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 88°, with a 51% chance of rain.

88°63°
88°72°
92°72°
93°75°
96°76°
93°76°
Todaysplit ±9°Tomorrowsplit ±6°Mondaysplit ±8°Tuesdaysplit ±11°Wednesdaysplit ±13°Thursdaysplit ±11°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
84°
Partly cloudy
Feels 88° · Wind 10 mph · Humidity 63%
AmericanNOAA GFS
87°
Overcast
Feels 87° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 43%
EuropeanECMWF
88°
Partly cloudy
Feels 91° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 50%

Latest for Rancho Penasquitos: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 84° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 87° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 88° Partly cloudy.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Rancho Penasquitos and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
88° 63°
±9°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
88° 72°
±6°
Mon
Partly cloudy
92° 72°
±8°
Tue
Partly cloudy
93° 75°
±11°
Wed
Light drizzle
96° 76°
±13°
Thu
Clear
93° 76°
±11°
Fri
Clear
87° 72°
±7°
Sat
Partly cloudy
83° 68°
±5°
Sun
Mostly clear
84° 66°
±7°
Mon
Mostly clear
84° 67°
±6°
Tue
Light drizzle
88° 67°
±10°
Wed
Light drizzle
90° 73°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
88° 71°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
88° 71°
±12°

Rancho Penasquitos, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 44°F), with roughly 23 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Rancho Penasquitos right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Rancho Penasquitos climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
62°
45°
Feb
61°
44°
Mar
62°
47°
Apr
67°
50°
May
68°
55°
Jun
74°
59°
Jul
83°
64°
Aug
83°
65°
Sep
80°
63°
Oct
80°
58°
Nov
73°
49°
Dec
69°
47°

Which forecast is most accurate in Rancho Penasquitos?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F92±2.6 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
79
/100rank #2
56±4.4°F95±1.5 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±9°84° to 93°±32%5% to 37% chance
Tomorrow±6°84° to 90°±41%10% to 51% chance
Mon±8°87° to 95°±2%3% to 5% chance
Tue±11°87° to 98°±7%6% to 13% chance
Wed±13°89° to 101°±9%6% to 15% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Rancho Penasquitos

today, local time
Sunrise
06:25
Sunset
19:08
Daylight
12h 43m

Common questions

What's the weather in Rancho Penasquitos today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Rancho Penasquitos today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Rancho Penasquitos today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Rancho Penasquitos and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rancho Penasquitos?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Rancho Penasquitos (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the European at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Rancho Penasquitos?
July is typically the warmest month in Rancho Penasquitos, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Rancho Penasquitos get?
The coldest month in Rancho Penasquitos is February, when overnight lows average about 44°F.
How much rain does Rancho Penasquitos get?
Rancho Penasquitos sees roughly 23 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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