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CheckWeather USEncinitas
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 4°F

Encinitas weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 80° in Encinitas today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 82°, with a 50% chance of rain.

80°62°
82°71°
83°71°
86°73°
88°74°
85°74°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±8°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±10°Wednesdaysplit ±12°Thursdaysplit ±11°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
78°
Partly cloudy
Today 78°·Low 65°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
81°
Cloudy
Today 81°·Low 59°·Rain 4%
EuropeanECMWF
82°
Cloudy
Today 82°·Low 62°·Rain 18%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Encinitas and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
80° 62°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
82° 71°
±8°
Mon
Cloudy
83° 71°
±5°
Tue
Partly cloudy
86° 73°
±10°
Wed
Mostly clear
88° 74°
±12°
Thu
Clear
85° 74°
±11°
Fri
Partly cloudy
82° 72°
±7°
Sat
Partly cloudy
79° 70°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
79° 68°
±4°
Mon
Partly cloudy
78° 68°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
80° 68°
±10°
Wed
Light drizzle
84° 72°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
82° 70°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
83° 69°
±5°

Encinitas, CA is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 76°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 47°F), with roughly 21 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Encinitas right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Encinitas climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
61°
47°
Feb
60°
47°
Mar
61°
50°
Apr
63°
51°
May
65°
57°
Jun
69°
60°
Jul
75°
64°
Aug
76°
65°
Sep
75°
64°
Oct
73°
58°
Nov
69°
51°
Dec
65°
49°

Which forecast is most accurate in Encinitas?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F98±0.6 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
92
/100rank #2
82±1.8°F98±0.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°78° to 82°±14%4% to 18% chance
Tomorrow±8°80° to 88°±38%12% to 50% chance
Mon±5°80° to 85°±7%3% to 10% chance
Tue±10°81° to 91°±7%6% to 13% chance
Wed±12°81° to 93°±6%4% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Encinitas

today, local time
Sunrise
06:26
Sunset
19:09
Daylight
12h 43m

Common questions

What's the weather in Encinitas today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Encinitas today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Encinitas today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Encinitas and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Encinitas?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Encinitas (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the European at 92. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Encinitas?
August is typically the warmest month in Encinitas, with average highs around 76°F.
How cold does Encinitas get?
The coldest month in Encinitas is January, when overnight lows average about 47°F.
How much rain does Encinitas get?
Encinitas sees roughly 21 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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