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CheckWeather USVista
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 7°F

Vista weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Vista's high today between 84° and 91°, a 7° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 87°, with a 62% chance of rain.

88°61°
87°72°
91°72°
93°72°
95°73°
92°72°
Todaysplit ±7°Tomorrowsplit ±7°Mondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaysplit ±10°Wednesdaysplit ±9°Thursdaysplit ±10°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
84°
Mostly clear
Today 84°·Low 66°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
91°
Partly cloudy
Today 91°·Low 59°·Rain 4%
EuropeanECMWF
90°
Cloudy
Today 90°·Low 58°·Rain 30%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Vista and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
88° 61°
±7°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
87° 72°
±7°
Mon
Partly cloudy
91° 72°
±7°
Tue
Partly cloudy
93° 72°
±10°
Wed
Light drizzle
95° 73°
±9°
Thu
Clear
92° 72°
±10°
Fri
Mostly clear
86° 69°
±5°
Sat
Cloudy
83° 67°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
82° 64°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
83° 64°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
86° 64°
±11°
Wed
Light drizzle
88° 67°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
85° 67°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
86° 67°
±7°

Vista, CA is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 80°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 44°F), with roughly 24 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Vista right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Vista climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
62°
44°
Feb
61°
45°
Mar
61°
46°
Apr
65°
49°
May
67°
54°
Jun
72°
58°
Jul
79°
62°
Aug
80°
62°
Sep
78°
61°
Oct
77°
56°
Nov
72°
49°
Dec
67°
47°

Which forecast is most accurate in Vista?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
77±2.3°F99±0.4 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #2
69±3.1°F99±0.4 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±7°84° to 91°±26%4% to 30% chance
Tomorrow±7°84° to 91°±47%15% to 62% chance
Mon±7°87° to 94°±10%4% to 14% chance
Tue±10°88° to 97°±4%7% to 11% chance
Wed±9°89° to 98°±9%4% to 13% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Vista

today, local time
Sunrise
06:26
Sunset
19:08
Daylight
12h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in Vista today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Vista today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Vista today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Vista and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Vista?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Vista (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Vista?
August is typically the warmest month in Vista, with average highs around 80°F.
How cold does Vista get?
The coldest month in Vista is January, when overnight lows average about 44°F.
How much rain does Vista get?
Vista sees roughly 24 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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