Minnetonka Mills weather
Loading live data…Drizzle,cooler tomorrow
NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 72° in Minnetonka Mills today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 53°, with a 44% chance of rain.
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Minnetonka Mills weather in numbers
measured normals and 10 years of recorded weatherMinnetonka Mills swings 72°F across the year, from 82°F highs in July to 10°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 34 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 82 days a year at 77°F or above, 18 of them at 86°F or above, 144 frost nights, and rain on 107 days.
Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Minnetonka Mills’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.
The weather map: all three models at once
NWS, American, European side by side around Minnetonka Mills and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Minnetonka Mills hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three modelsRain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by sideLoading the three models…
Minnetonka Mills 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they splitMinnetonka Mills, Minnesota (MN) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 10°F), with roughly 34 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Minnetonka Mills right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.
Minnetonka Mills climate by month
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How the weather around Minnetonka Mills has changed since 1995
Minnetonka Mills sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Plymouth. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Plymouth page.
Which forecast is most accurate in Minnetonka Mills?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
What do you think of the forecasts?
your vote countsThe accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
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Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.