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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Edina weather

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Drizzle,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 73° in Edina today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 54°, with a 48% chance of rain.

73°53°
54°46°
48°44°
60°45°
63°51°
60°47°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
63°
Clear
Feels 58° · Wind 12 mph · Humidity 64%
AmericanNOAA GFS
61°
Overcast
Feels 57° · Wind 10 mph · Humidity 65%
EuropeanECMWF
64°
Clear
Feels 59° · Wind 11 mph · Humidity 58%

Latest for Edina: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 63° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 61° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 64° Clear.

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Edina weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Edina weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Edina swings 75°F across the year, from 83°F highs in July to 8°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 34 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 88 days a year at 77°F or above, 24 of them at 86°F or above, 146 frost nights, and rain on 108 days.

Warmest month
July
83°F average high
Coldest month
January
8°F average low
Wettest month
August
34 in a year
Comfortable
2 months
May and September
Residents
50,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
88 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
146 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
108 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Edina’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Edina and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Edina hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Edina 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
73° 53°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
54° 46°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
48° 44°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
60° 45°
±8°
Wed
Light drizzle
63° 51°
±7°
Thu
Mostly clear
60° 47°
±6°
Fri
Partly cloudy
64° 50°
±12°
Sat
Drizzle
63° 53°
±12°
Sun
Light drizzle
58° 45°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
54° 41°
±8°
Tue
Cloudy
46° 38°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
50° 42°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
54° 38°
±16°

Edina, Minnesota (MN) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 8°F), with roughly 34 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Edina right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Edina climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
21°
8°
Feb
30°
11°
Mar
42°
23°
Apr
54°
36°
May
69°
48°
Jun
79°
58°
Jul
83°
63°
Aug
80°
62°
Sep
72°
53°
Oct
57°
41°
Nov
40°
27°
Dec
27°
15°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Edina has changed since 1995

Edina sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Minneapolis. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Minneapolis page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Edina?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F99±0.5 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
89±1.1°F96±1.1 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°73° to 74°±27%43% to 70% chance
Tomorrow±4°51° to 56°±26%22% to 48% chance
Monmodels agree48° to 48°±14%46% to 60% chance
Tue±8°56° to 63°±2%61% to 63% chance
Wed±7°61° to 68°±5%36% to 41% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Edina

today, local time
Sunrise
07:41
Sunset
18:13
Daylight
10h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Edina today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 73° in Edina today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 54°, with a 48% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Edina today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Edina on Sunday, October 25: NWS 22%, American 22%, European 48%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 70%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Edina?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Edina (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Edina?
July is typically the warmest month in Edina, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Edina get?
The coldest month in Edina is January, when overnight lows average about 8°F.
How much rain does Edina get?
Edina sees roughly 34 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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