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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Plymouth weather

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Drizzle,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 71° in Plymouth today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 52°, with a 44% chance of rain.

71°52°
52°45°
48°43°
59°44°
63°49°
60°47°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
72°
Drizzle
Today 72°·Low 52°·Rain 44%
AmericanNOAA GFS
71°
Heavy drizzle
Today 71°·Low 51°·Rain 44%
EuropeanECMWF
72°
Drizzle
Today 72°·Low 54°·Rain 76%
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Plymouth weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Plymouth…

Plymouth weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Plymouth swings 73°F across the year, from 82°F highs in July to 9°F lows in January, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 34 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 83 days a year at 77°F or above, 20 of them at 86°F or above, 145 frost nights, and rain on 108 days.

Warmest month
July
82°F average high
Coldest month
January
9°F average low
Wettest month
June
34 in a year
Comfortable
2 months
May and September
Residents
76,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
97/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
83 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
145 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
108 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Plymouth’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Plymouth and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Plymouth hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Plymouth 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
71° 52°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
52° 45°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
48° 43°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
59° 44°
±8°
Wed
Light drizzle
63° 49°
±7°
Thu
Mostly clear
60° 47°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
64° 49°
±13°
Sat
Drizzle
62° 53°
±12°
Sun
Light drizzle
58° 44°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
54° 40°
±8°
Tue
Cloudy
45° 38°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
50° 42°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
54° 39°
±16°

Plymouth, Minnesota (MN) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 9°F), with roughly 34 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Plymouth right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Plymouth climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
21°
9°
Feb
29°
10°
Mar
40°
22°
Apr
53°
35°
May
69°
48°
Jun
78°
59°
Jul
82°
64°
Aug
79°
62°
Sep
72°
55°
Oct
56°
41°
Nov
39°
27°
Dec
26°
14°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Plymouth's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.0°F

Around Plymouth, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +1.0°F, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −2.4°F vs the 30-year average1996: −5.1°F vs the 30-year average1997: −1.9°F vs the 30-year average1998: +2.4°F vs the 30-year average1999: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2000: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2001: +0.5°F vs the 30-year average2002: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2003: −0.3°F vs the 30-year average2004: +0.1°F vs the 30-year average2005: +2.4°F vs the 30-year average2006: +3.3°F vs the 30-year average2007: +1.5°F vs the 30-year average2008: −1.9°F vs the 30-year average2009: −1.7°F vs the 30-year average2010: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2011: −0.8°F vs the 30-year average2012: +3.7°F vs the 30-year average2013: −2.2°F vs the 30-year average2014: −3.9°F vs the 30-year average2015: +1.5°F vs the 30-year average2016: +1.9°F vs the 30-year average2017: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2018: −1.3°F vs the 30-year average2019: −3.1°F vs the 30-year average2020: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2021: +2.3°F vs the 30-year average2022: −1.3°F vs the 30-year average2023: +2.1°F vs the 30-year average2024: +3.0°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 86°F

1 fewer day a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −9 vs the 30-year average1996: −10 vs the 30-year average1997: −15 vs the 30-year average1998: −10 vs the 30-year average1999: −3 vs the 30-year average2000: +3 vs the 30-year average2001: +8 vs the 30-year average2002: +7 vs the 30-year average2003: +7 vs the 30-year average2004: −9 vs the 30-year average2005: +23 vs the 30-year average2006: +28 vs the 30-year average2007: +31 vs the 30-year average2008: −2 vs the 30-year average2009: −10 vs the 30-year average2010: −9 vs the 30-year average2011: −9 vs the 30-year average2012: +25 vs the 30-year average2013: +0 vs the 30-year average2014: −20 vs the 30-year average2015: −9 vs the 30-year average2016: −8 vs the 30-year average2017: −13 vs the 30-year average2018: −6 vs the 30-year average2019: −20 vs the 30-year average2020: −13 vs the 30-year average2021: +25 vs the 30-year average2022: +9 vs the 30-year average2023: +16 vs the 30-year average2024: −18 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

4 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +8 vs the 30-year average1996: +17 vs the 30-year average1997: +16 vs the 30-year average1998: −16 vs the 30-year average1999: −4 vs the 30-year average2000: −6 vs the 30-year average2001: −10 vs the 30-year average2002: +25 vs the 30-year average2003: −0 vs the 30-year average2004: −2 vs the 30-year average2005: −5 vs the 30-year average2006: +5 vs the 30-year average2007: −9 vs the 30-year average2008: +4 vs the 30-year average2009: +1 vs the 30-year average2010: −20 vs the 30-year average2011: +8 vs the 30-year average2012: −19 vs the 30-year average2013: +23 vs the 30-year average2014: +7 vs the 30-year average2015: −21 vs the 30-year average2016: −19 vs the 30-year average2017: −9 vs the 30-year average2018: +26 vs the 30-year average2019: +14 vs the 30-year average2020: +17 vs the 30-year average2021: −10 vs the 30-year average2022: +9 vs the 30-year average2023: −0 vs the 30-year average2024: −20 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−3%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −1% vs the 30-year average1996: +2% vs the 30-year average1997: −1% vs the 30-year average1998: −5% vs the 30-year average1999: +4% vs the 30-year average2000: +2% vs the 30-year average2001: +2% vs the 30-year average2002: +2% vs the 30-year average2003: +2% vs the 30-year average2004: +4% vs the 30-year average2005: +2% vs the 30-year average2006: +2% vs the 30-year average2007: +8% vs the 30-year average2008: +4% vs the 30-year average2009: −3% vs the 30-year average2010: −5% vs the 30-year average2011: −3% vs the 30-year average2012: −3% vs the 30-year average2013: +2% vs the 30-year average2014: +4% vs the 30-year average2015: +4% vs the 30-year average2016: −1% vs the 30-year average2017: −1% vs the 30-year average2018: −5% vs the 30-year average2019: −5% vs the 30-year average2020: −3% vs the 30-year average2021: −5% vs the 30-year average2022: +6% vs the 30-year average2023: −7% vs the 30-year average2024: −1% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >86°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−2.4°F−9+8−1%
1996−5.1°F−10+17+2%
1997−1.9°F−15+16−1%
1998+2.4°F−10−16−5%
1999+1.2°F−3−4+4%
2000+0.3°F+3−6+2%
2001+0.5°F+8−10+2%
2002+0.3°F+7+25+2%
2003−0.3°F+7−0+2%
2004+0.1°F−9−2+4%
2005+2.4°F+23−5+2%
2006+3.3°F+28+5+2%
2007+1.5°F+31−9+8%
2008−1.9°F−2+4+4%
2009−1.7°F−10+1−3%
2010−0.4°F−9−20−5%
2011−0.8°F−9+8−3%
2012+3.7°F+25−19−3%
2013−2.2°F+0+23+2%
2014−3.9°F−20+7+4%
2015+1.5°F−9−21+4%
2016+1.9°F−8−19−1%
2017+0.3°F−13−9−1%
2018−1.3°F−6+26−5%
2019−3.1°F−20+14−5%
2020−0.4°F−13+17−3%
2021+2.3°F+25−10−5%
2022−1.3°F+9+9+6%
2023+2.1°F+16−0−7%
2024+3.0°F−18−20−1%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Plymouth, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Plymouth?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
97±0.3°F98±0.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
84±1.6°F95±1.7 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°71° to 72°±32%44% to 76% chance
Tomorrow±4°51° to 55°±26%18% to 44% chance
Mon±1°47° to 48°±14%51% to 65% chance
Tue±8°55° to 63°±4%67% to 71% chance
Wed±7°60° to 67°±2%37% to 39% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Plymouth

today, local time
Sunrise
07:41
Sunset
18:13
Daylight
10h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Plymouth today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 71° in Plymouth today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 52°, with a 44% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Plymouth today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Plymouth on Sunday, October 25: NWS 18%, American 18%, European 44%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 76%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Plymouth?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Plymouth (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Plymouth?
July is typically the warmest month in Plymouth, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Plymouth get?
The coldest month in Plymouth is January, when overnight lows average about 9°F.
How much rain does Plymouth get?
Plymouth sees roughly 34 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
Is Plymouth getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Plymouth, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 1.0°F, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

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