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CheckWeather USMaple Grove
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Maple Grove weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 83° in Maple Grove today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 84°, with a 12% chance of rain.

83°64°
84°67°
80°68°
87°66°
78°63°
80°58°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±6°Mondaysplit ±9°Tuesdaysplit ±12°Wednesdaysplit ±12°Thursdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
83°
Cloudy
Today 83°·Low 64°·Rain 8%
AmericanNOAA GFS
85°
Fog
Today 85°·Low 64°·Rain 8%
EuropeanECMWF
82°
Cloudy
Today 82°·Low 65°·Rain 15%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Maple Grove and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
83° 64°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
84° 67°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
80° 68°
±9°
Tue
Light rain
87° 66°
±12°
Wed
Mostly clear
78° 63°
±12°
Thu
Clear
80° 58°
±9°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
82° 63°
±9°
Sat
Light drizzle
77° 62°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
66° 56°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
69° 52°
±11°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
72° 55°
±8°
Wed
Cloudy
74° 55°
±7°
Thu
Light drizzle
71° 58°
±11°
Fri
Light drizzle
73° 60°
±6°

Maple Grove, MN is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 13°F), with roughly 40 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Maple Grove right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Maple Grove climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
13°
Feb
35°
16°
Mar
39°
21°
Apr
53°
35°
May
71°
50°
Jun
80°
60°
Jul
82°
63°
Aug
80°
62°
Sep
77°
59°
Oct
61°
45°
Nov
43°
30°
Dec
34°
22°

Which forecast is most accurate in Maple Grove?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F97±0.8 mph6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F97±1.1 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°82° to 85°±7%8% to 15% chance
Tomorrow±6°81° to 87°±7%5% to 12% chance
Mon±9°76° to 85°±9%28% to 37% chance
Tue±12°81° to 93°±5%83% to 88% chance
Wed±12°74° to 85°±20%3% to 23% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Maple Grove

today, local time
Sunrise
06:41
Sunset
19:43
Daylight
13h 2m

Common questions

What's the weather in Maple Grove today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Maple Grove today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Maple Grove today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Maple Grove and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Maple Grove?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Maple Grove (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Maple Grove?
July is typically the warmest month in Maple Grove, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Maple Grove get?
The coldest month in Maple Grove is January, when overnight lows average about 13°F.
How much rain does Maple Grove get?
Maple Grove sees roughly 40 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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