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CheckWeather USLakeville
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Lakeville weather

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Fog,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 82° in Lakeville today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 84°, with a 12% chance of rain.

82°66°
84°66°
80°66°
87°66°
79°63°
81°57°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaysplit ±12°Wednesdaysplit ±12°Thursdaysplit ±10°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
83°
Fog
Today 83°·Low 65°·Rain 11%
AmericanNOAA GFS
82°
Fog
Today 82°·Low 66°·Rain 11%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Cloudy
Today 81°·Low 66°·Rain 15%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Lakeville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Fog
82° 66°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
84° 66°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
80° 66°
±6°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
87° 66°
±12°
Wed
Mostly clear
79° 63°
±12°
Thu
Clear
81° 57°
±10°
Fri
Mostly clear
83° 62°
±12°
Sat
Light drizzle
78° 61°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
66° 55°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
68° 51°
±11°
Tue
Cloudy
72° 54°
±7°
Wed
Mostly clear
75° 51°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
72° 55°
±8°
Fri
Light drizzle
74° 57°
models agree

Lakeville, MN is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 14°F), with roughly 39 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Lakeville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Lakeville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
14°
Feb
35°
16°
Mar
41°
22°
Apr
54°
36°
May
71°
50°
Jun
80°
60°
Jul
81°
62°
Aug
80°
62°
Sep
77°
59°
Oct
62°
45°
Nov
44°
31°
Dec
35°
23°

Which forecast is most accurate in Lakeville?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F96±1.4 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F95±1.7 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°81° to 83°±4%11% to 15% chance
Tomorrow±4°81° to 85°±6%6% to 12% chance
Mon±6°77° to 83°±11%20% to 31% chance
Tue±12°81° to 93°±8%74% to 82% chance
Wed±12°75° to 86°±18%10% to 28% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Lakeville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:40
Sunset
19:42
Daylight
13h 2m

Common questions

What's the weather in Lakeville today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Lakeville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Lakeville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Lakeville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Lakeville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Lakeville (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the American at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Lakeville?
July is typically the warmest month in Lakeville, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Lakeville get?
The coldest month in Lakeville is January, when overnight lows average about 14°F.
How much rain does Lakeville get?
Lakeville sees roughly 39 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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