Skip to main content
Every US forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather USApple Valley
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Apple Valley weather

Loading live data…

Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 82° in Apple Valley today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 84°, with a 12% chance of rain.

82°66°
84°67°
80°67°
87°66°
79°63°
81°57°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaysplit ±10°Wednesdaysplit ±12°Thursdaysplit ±10°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
84°
Cloudy
Today 84°·Low 65°·Rain 9%
AmericanNOAA GFS
83°
Fog
Today 83°·Low 67°·Rain 9%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Cloudy
Today 81°·Low 66°·Rain 15%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Apple Valley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
82° 66°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
84° 67°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
80° 67°
±6°
Tue
Light rain
87° 66°
±10°
Wed
Mostly clear
79° 63°
±12°
Thu
Clear
81° 57°
±10°
Fri
Mostly clear
84° 62°
±13°
Sat
Light drizzle
78° 62°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
66° 56°
±10°
Mon
Light drizzle
68° 52°
±11°
Tue
Cloudy
72° 54°
±7°
Wed
Mostly clear
75° 51°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
72° 54°
±9°
Fri
Cloudy
74° 56°
models agree

Apple Valley, MN is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 15°F), with roughly 40 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Apple Valley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Apple Valley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
15°
Feb
36°
17°
Mar
41°
23°
Apr
54°
37°
May
71°
51°
Jun
80°
61°
Jul
82°
63°
Aug
80°
63°
Sep
78°
60°
Oct
62°
46°
Nov
44°
31°
Dec
35°
23°

Which forecast is most accurate in Apple Valley?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F98±0.7 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F96±1.3 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°81° to 84°±6%9% to 15% chance
Tomorrow±4°81° to 85°±6%6% to 12% chance
Mon±6°77° to 83°±10%21% to 31% chance
Tue±10°82° to 92°±5%77% to 82% chance
Wed±12°75° to 87°±20%8% to 28% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Apple Valley

today, local time
Sunrise
06:40
Sunset
19:42
Daylight
13h 2m

Common questions

What's the weather in Apple Valley today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Apple Valley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Apple Valley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Apple Valley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Apple Valley?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Apple Valley (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Apple Valley?
July is typically the warmest month in Apple Valley, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Apple Valley get?
The coldest month in Apple Valley is January, when overnight lows average about 15°F.
How much rain does Apple Valley get?
Apple Valley sees roughly 40 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather