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CheckWeather USBurnsville
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Burnsville weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 83° in Burnsville today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 84°, with a 12% chance of rain.

83°66°
84°68°
80°67°
87°66°
79°64°
81°59°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaysplit ±11°Wednesdaysplit ±11°Thursdaysplit ±9°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
84°
Cloudy
Today 84°·Low 66°·Rain 7%
AmericanNOAA GFS
83°
Fog
Today 83°·Low 67°·Rain 7%
EuropeanECMWF
81°
Cloudy
Today 81°·Low 66°·Rain 15%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Burnsville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
83° 66°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
84° 68°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
80° 67°
±6°
Tue
Light rain
87° 66°
±11°
Wed
Mostly clear
79° 64°
±11°
Thu
Mostly clear
81° 59°
±9°
Fri
Mostly clear
83° 63°
±11°
Sat
Light drizzle
77° 63°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
67° 57°
±9°
Mon
Light drizzle
68° 52°
±11°
Tue
Cloudy
72° 55°
±7°
Wed
Partly cloudy
75° 54°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
72° 57°
±9°
Fri
Light drizzle
74° 58°
±4°

Burnsville, MN is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 14°F), with roughly 39 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Burnsville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Burnsville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
27°
14°
Feb
36°
17°
Mar
41°
23°
Apr
55°
37°
May
72°
51°
Jun
80°
61°
Jul
82°
63°
Aug
81°
63°
Sep
78°
60°
Oct
62°
46°
Nov
44°
31°
Dec
35°
23°

Which forecast is most accurate in Burnsville?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F96±1.3 mph6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F95±1.4 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°81° to 84°±8%7% to 15% chance
Tomorrow±4°82° to 85°±5%7% to 12% chance
Mon±6°77° to 83°±10%21% to 31% chance
Tue±11°82° to 93°±6%76% to 82% chance
Wed±11°75° to 86°±21%7% to 28% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Burnsville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:40
Sunset
19:42
Daylight
13h 2m

Common questions

What's the weather in Burnsville today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Burnsville today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Burnsville today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Burnsville and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Burnsville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Burnsville (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the American at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Burnsville?
July is typically the warmest month in Burnsville, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Burnsville get?
The coldest month in Burnsville is January, when overnight lows average about 14°F.
How much rain does Burnsville get?
Burnsville sees roughly 39 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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