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CheckWeather UKTonyrefail

Tonyrefail weather

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Met OfficeUKMO model
18°
Overcast
Feels 18° · Wind 11 mph · Humidity 97%
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Overcast
Feels 17° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 94%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Overcast
Feels 16° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 98%

Latest for Tonyrefail: Met Office (UKMO model): 18° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 17° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 15° Overcast.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Tonyrefail and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Tonyrefail, Wales is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1870 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Tonyrefail right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Tonyrefail climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
12°
May
17°
Jun
19°
11°
Jul
18°
12°
Aug
19°
12°
Sep
18°
11°
Oct
14°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Tonyrefail?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C95±1.6 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
87
/100rank #2
92±0.5°C96±1.2 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
73±1.5°C89±3.5 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Tonyrefail today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Tonyrefail today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Tonyrefail today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Tonyrefail and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tonyrefail?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Tonyrefail (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the Met Office at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Tonyrefail?
June is typically the warmest month in Tonyrefail, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Tonyrefail get?
The coldest month in Tonyrefail is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Tonyrefail get?
Tonyrefail sees roughly 1870 mm of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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