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CheckWeather UKLlantrisant
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Llantrisant weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 23° in Llantrisant today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 18°, with a 81% chance of rain.

23°12°
18°15°
17°11°
17°10°
18°11°
20°12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
24°
Light drizzle
Today 24°·Low 12°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Light drizzle
Today 23°·Low 12°·Rain 88%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Light drizzle
Today 24°·Low 13°·Rain 43%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Llantrisant and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
23° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
18° 15°
models agree
Tue
Rain
17° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
17° 10°
±2°
Thu
Light rain
18° 11°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 12°
±3°
Sat
Drizzle
18°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
19° 15°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
19° 12°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
19° 12°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
18°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
17°
±3°
Fri
Light rain
18° 12°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
17°
±4°

Llantrisant, Wales is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1870 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Llantrisant right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Llantrisant climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
12°
May
17°
Jun
19°
11°
Jul
18°
12°
Aug
19°
12°
Sep
18°
11°
Oct
14°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Llantrisant?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
82±1.0°C97±0.8 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
84
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C96±1.4 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C88±3.8 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°23° to 24°±45%43% to 88% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree18° to 18°±62%19% to 81% chance
Tue±1°17° to 17°±19%81% to 100% chance
Wed±2°16° to 18°±3%4% to 7% chance
Thu±1°17° to 18°±15%32% to 47% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Llantrisant

today, local time
Sunrise
06:34
Sunset
19:49
Daylight
13h 15m

Common questions

What's the weather in Llantrisant today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Llantrisant today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Llantrisant today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Llantrisant and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Llantrisant?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Llantrisant (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the Met Office at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Llantrisant?
June is typically the warmest month in Llantrisant, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Llantrisant get?
The coldest month in Llantrisant is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Llantrisant get?
Llantrisant sees roughly 1870 mm of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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