Drizzle,cooler tomorrow
Met Office, the European and the American model put Sutton in Ashfield's high today between 21° and 24°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 19°, with a 28% chance of rain.
Sutton in Ashfield, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 932 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Sutton in Ashfield right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.