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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Rhondda weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 22° in Rhondda today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 17°, with a 91% chance of rain.

22°12°
17°13°
16°
16°
16°10°
18°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±4°
Met OfficeUKMO model
22°
Drizzle
Today 22°·Low 12°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Light rain
Today 21°·Low 12°·Rain 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Light drizzle
Today 23°·Low 11°·Rain 53%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Rhondda and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
22° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
17° 13°
models agree
Tue
Rain
16°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16°
±2°
Thu
Light rain
16° 10°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
18° 11°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
17°
±3°
Sun
Light rain
18° 14°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
17° 11°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
17°
±6°
Thu
Drizzle
17°
±5°
Fri
Heavy drizzle
17° 11°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
16°
±6°

Rhondda, Wales is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 18°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1995 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Rhondda right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Rhondda climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
11°
May
16°
Jun
18°
10°
Jul
17°
11°
Aug
18°
12°
Sep
17°
11°
Oct
13°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Rhondda?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C96±1.2 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
85
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C96±1.2 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #3
67±1.8°C88±3.9 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°21° to 23°±33%53% to 86% chance
Tomorrow±1°17° to 17°±40%51% to 91% chance
Tue±2°15° to 17°±6%92% to 98% chance
Wed±2°14° to 17°±15%10% to 25% chance
Thu±1°16° to 17°±15%58% to 73% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Rhondda

today, local time
Sunrise
06:34
Sunset
19:49
Daylight
13h 15m

Common questions

What's the weather in Rhondda today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Rhondda today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Rhondda today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Rhondda and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rhondda?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Rhondda (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the Met Office at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Rhondda?
June is typically the warmest month in Rhondda, with average highs around 18°C.
How cold does Rhondda get?
The coldest month in Rhondda is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Rhondda get?
Rhondda sees roughly 1995 mm of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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