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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Prestwick weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Prestwick today. Tomorrow: rain, around 11°, with a 100% chance of rain.

13°6°
11°8°
16°7°
16°8°
12°8°
13°8°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
12°
Rain
Feels 7° · Wind 18 mph · Humidity 93%
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Rain
Feels 6° · Wind 22 mph · Humidity 91%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Rain
Feels 6° · Wind 29 mph · Humidity 91%

Latest for Prestwick: Met Office (UKMO model): 12° Rain · European (ECMWF): 12° Rain · American (NOAA GFS): 13° Rain.

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Prestwick weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Strathclyde

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Strathclyde…

Prestwick weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Prestwick swings 16°C across the year, from 18°C highs in August to 2°C lows in February, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1281 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 3 days a year at 25°C or above, 29 frost nights, and rain on 208 days.

Warmest month
August
18°C average high
Coldest month
February
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
1281 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
15,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
3 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
29 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
208 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Prestwick’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Prestwick and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Prestwick hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Prestwick 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
13° 6°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
11° 8°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
16° 7°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
16° 8°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
12° 8°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
13° 8°
models agree
Fri
Heavy drizzle
12° 9°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
12° 8°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
11° 9°
±2°
Mon
Light drizzle
11° 4°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
7° 2°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
8° 3°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
8° 2°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
8° 3°
±4°

Prestwick, Scotland is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 18°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1281 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Prestwick right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Prestwick climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
7°
3°
Feb
7°
2°
Mar
8°
2°
Apr
12°
5°
May
14°
7°
Jun
17°
10°
Jul
17°
12°
Aug
18°
12°
Sep
16°
9°
Oct
12°
8°
Nov
9°
5°
Dec
6°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Prestwick has changed since 1995

Prestwick sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Kilmarnock. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Kilmarnock page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Prestwick?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C95±1.4 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #2
90±0.5°C95±1.4 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
80
/100rank #3
92±0.5°C91±2.8 mph5877% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°12° to 14°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°10° to 11°models agree100% to 100% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°±1%99% to 100% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°±14%86% to 100% chance
Wed±2°11° to 13°±20%80% to 100% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Prestwick

today, local time
Sunrise
08:07
Sunset
17:57
Daylight
9h 50m

Common questions

What's the weather in Prestwick today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Prestwick today. Tomorrow: rain, around 11°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Prestwick today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Prestwick on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 100% (Met Office 100%, European 100%, American 100%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Prestwick?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Prestwick (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Prestwick?
August is typically the warmest month in Prestwick, with average highs around 18°C.
How cold does Prestwick get?
The coldest month in Prestwick is February, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Prestwick get?
Prestwick sees roughly 1281 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

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