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Ardrossan weather

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Met OfficeUKMO model
12°
Rain
Feels 6° · Wind 26 mph · Humidity 96%
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Rain
Feels 7° · Wind 20 mph · Humidity 93%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Showers
Feels 4° · Wind 36 mph · Humidity 95%

Latest for Ardrossan: Met Office (UKMO model): 12° Rain · European (ECMWF): 11° Rain · American (NOAA GFS): 12° Showers.

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Ardrossan weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Strathclyde

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Strathclyde…

Ardrossan weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Ardrossan swings 14°C across the year, from 17°C highs in July to 3°C lows in February, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1549 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 1 day a year at 25°C or above, 15 frost nights, and rain on 207 days.

Warmest month
July
17°C average high
Coldest month
February
3°C average low
Wettest month
October
1549 mm a year
Comfortable
3 months
June, July and August
Residents
11,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
1 day
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
15 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
207 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Ardrossan’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Ardrossan and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Ardrossan hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Ardrossan 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Ardrossan, Scotland is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 17°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1549 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Ardrossan right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Ardrossan climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
7°
4°
Feb
7°
3°
Mar
9°
4°
Apr
10°
5°
May
13°
8°
Jun
16°
10°
Jul
17°
12°
Aug
17°
13°
Sep
15°
10°
Oct
12°
8°
Nov
9°
5°
Dec
8°
4°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Ardrossan has changed since 1995

Ardrossan sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Kilwinning. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Kilwinning page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Ardrossan?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C90±3.1 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C92±2.6 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
73
/100rank #3
94±0.4°C93±2.2 mph3665% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Ardrossan today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Ardrossan today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Ardrossan today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Ardrossan and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ardrossan?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ardrossan (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Ardrossan?
July is typically the warmest month in Ardrossan, with average highs around 17°C.
How cold does Ardrossan get?
The coldest month in Ardrossan is February, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Ardrossan get?
Ardrossan sees roughly 1549 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

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