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CheckWeather UK›Newcastle upon Tyne
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Newcastle upon Tyne weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Newcastle upon Tyne today. Tomorrow: rain, around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain.

11°5°
10°8°
16°7°
16°9°
13°9°
13°8°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
11°
Light rain
Today 11°·Low 5°·Rain 100%
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Heavy drizzle
Today 11°·Low 5°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Light rain
Today 12°·Low 5°·Rain 100%
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Newcastle upon Tyne weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for North East England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for North East England…

Newcastle upon Tyne weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Newcastle upon Tyne swings 17°C across the year, from 19°C highs in July to 2°C lows in January, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 675 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 5 days a year at 25°C or above, 31 frost nights, and rain on 158 days.

Warmest month
July
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
November
675 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
300,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
5 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
31 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
158 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Newcastle upon Tyne’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Newcastle upon Tyne and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Newcastle upon Tyne hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Newcastle upon Tyne 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
11° 5°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
10° 8°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
16° 7°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 9°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
13° 9°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
13° 8°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
13° 9°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
12° 8°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
11° 7°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
11° 6°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
8° 5°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
8° 3°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
8° 2°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
8° 2°
±4°

Newcastle upon Tyne, England. Often shortened to Newcastle. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Newcastle upon Tyne right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Newcastle upon Tyne's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Newcastle upon Tyne weather by month

what to expect in Newcastle upon Tyne through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Newcastle upon Tyne's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Newcastle upon Tyne by season.

Jan
7°
2°
Cold
Feb
8°
2°
Cool
Mar
9°
2°
Cool
Apr
11°
4°
Cool
May
14°
6°
Cool
Jun
17°
9°
Mild
Jul
19°
12°
Mild
Aug
19°
12°
Mild
Sep
16°
9°
Mild
Oct
13°
7°
Cool
Nov
9°
4°
Cool
Wettest
Dec
7°
2°
Cold

What Newcastle upon Tyne's weather is like through the year

Newcastle upon Tyne runs from warm summers, with July highs near 19°C, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 2°C (a swing of about 17°C across the year). November is usually the wettest month, and Newcastle upon Tyne sees roughly 675 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Newcastle upon Tyne

The most comfortable time to visit Newcastle upon Tyne is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest November rain is behind you.

How Newcastle upon Tyne's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.3°C

Around Newcastle upon Tyne, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.3°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average1996: −1.0°C vs the 30-year average1997: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average1998: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average1999: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2001: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2002: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2003: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2004: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2007: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2009: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2010: −1.2°C vs the 30-year average2011: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2016: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2018: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2021: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Frost nights

9 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +17 vs the 30-year average1996: +27 vs the 30-year average1997: −3 vs the 30-year average1998: −6 vs the 30-year average1999: −3 vs the 30-year average2000: −11 vs the 30-year average2001: +25 vs the 30-year average2002: −17 vs the 30-year average2003: +3 vs the 30-year average2004: −7 vs the 30-year average2005: −4 vs the 30-year average2006: +1 vs the 30-year average2007: −17 vs the 30-year average2008: +3 vs the 30-year average2009: +4 vs the 30-year average2010: +42 vs the 30-year average2011: −5 vs the 30-year average2012: −1 vs the 30-year average2013: +30 vs the 30-year average2014: −18 vs the 30-year average2015: −1 vs the 30-year average2016: +4 vs the 30-year average2017: −3 vs the 30-year average2018: +2 vs the 30-year average2019: −5 vs the 30-year average2020: −24 vs the 30-year average2021: +8 vs the 30-year average2022: −11 vs the 30-year average2023: −6 vs the 30-year average2024: −24 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−1%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +5% vs the 30-year average1996: +1% vs the 30-year average1997: −3% vs the 30-year average1998: +8% vs the 30-year average1999: +6% vs the 30-year average2000: +1% vs the 30-year average2001: −4% vs the 30-year average2002: −3% vs the 30-year average2003: −4% vs the 30-year average2004: −1% vs the 30-year average2005: +5% vs the 30-year average2006: −3% vs the 30-year average2007: +3% vs the 30-year average2008: +6% vs the 30-year average2009: −1% vs the 30-year average2010: −12% vs the 30-year average2011: +1% vs the 30-year average2012: −3% vs the 30-year average2013: +3% vs the 30-year average2014: −3% vs the 30-year average2015: +8% vs the 30-year average2016: −4% vs the 30-year average2017: +3% vs the 30-year average2018: −3% vs the 30-year average2019: −3% vs the 30-year average2020: +6% vs the 30-year average2021: −10% vs the 30-year average2022: −1% vs the 30-year average2023: −3% vs the 30-year average2024: −1% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.1°C+17+5%
1996−1.0°C+27+1%
1997+0.1°C−3−3%
1998−0.1°C−6+8%
1999±0.0°C−3+6%
2000−0.2°C−11+1%
2001−0.5°C+25−4%
2002+0.2°C−17−3%
2003+0.3°C+3−4%
2004+0.3°C−7−1%
2005+0.3°C−4+5%
2006+0.4°C+1−3%
2007+0.3°C−17+3%
2008−0.2°C+3+6%
2009±0.0°C+4−1%
2010−1.2°C+42−12%
2011+0.2°C−5+1%
2012−0.7°C−1−3%
2013−0.6°C+30+3%
2014+0.5°C−18−3%
2015−0.2°C−1+8%
2016−0.2°C+4−4%
2017+0.1°C−3+3%
2018±0.0°C+2−3%
2019+0.1°C−5−3%
2020+0.3°C−24+6%
2021+0.1°C+8−10%
2022+0.9°C−11−1%
2023+0.8°C−6−3%
2024+0.6°C−24−1%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Newcastle upon Tyne, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Newcastle upon Tyne?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C97±0.9 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
90±0.5°C94±1.9 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
79
/100rank #3
92±0.4°C96±1.3 mph5374% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Newcastle upon Tyne, scoring 91/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 80. See the full UK accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°11° to 12°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°10° to 10°±58%42% to 100% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°±13%87% to 100% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°±32%35% to 67% chance
Wed±2°12° to 14°±16%17% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Newcastle upon Tyne

today, local time
Sunrise
07:53
Sunset
17:46
Daylight
9h 53m

Common questions

What's the weather in Newcastle upon Tyne today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Newcastle upon Tyne today. Tomorrow: rain, around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Newcastle upon Tyne today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Newcastle upon Tyne on Sunday 25 October: Met Office 100%, European 70%, American 42%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Newcastle upon Tyne?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Newcastle upon Tyne (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Newcastle upon Tyne?
July is typically the warmest month in Newcastle upon Tyne, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Newcastle upon Tyne get?
The coldest month in Newcastle upon Tyne is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Newcastle upon Tyne get?
Newcastle upon Tyne sees roughly 675 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Newcastle upon Tyne?
The most comfortable time to visit Newcastle upon Tyne is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest November rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Newcastle upon Tyne?
Rarely - Newcastle upon Tyne very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.
Is Newcastle upon Tyne getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Newcastle upon Tyne, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.3°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

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