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Newcastle upon Tyne weekend weather

This weekend in Newcastle upon Tyne, England, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split — so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 20° across the weekend. Agreement is medium — plausible, but worth re-checking closer to the day.

Sat

2026-08-01 — every model, side by side
Met OfficeUKMO model
19°
Cloudy
High 19°·Low 11°·Rain
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Cloudy
High 20°·Low 12°·Rain 16%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Cloudy
High 20°·Low 10°·Rain 0%

All 3 models land within 1° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Sun

2026-08-02 — every model, side by side
Met OfficeUKMO model
22°
Cloudy
High 22°·Low 11°·Rain
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Cloudy
High 21°·Low 11°·Rain 6%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Cloudy
High 22°·Low 11°·Rain 3%

All 3 models land within 1° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°19° to 20°±27%39% to 66% chance
Tomorrow±1°18° to 19°±31%29% to 60% chance
Sat±1°19° to 20°±16%0% to 16% chance
Sun±1°21° to 22°±3%3% to 6% chance
Mon±1°18° to 18°±33%19% to 52% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
The models are not currently showing a high weekend rain risk, and they broadly agree with each other.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

More for Newcastle upon Tyne