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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Gosforth weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Gosforth today. Tomorrow: rain, around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain.

11°5°
10°8°
15°7°
16°9°
13°9°
13°7°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
8°
Light drizzle
Feels 4° · Wind 15 mph · Humidity 89%
EuropeanECMWF
9°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 3° · Wind 19 mph · Humidity 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
9°
Light drizzle
Feels 4° · Wind 19 mph · Humidity 82%

Latest for Gosforth: Met Office (UKMO model): 8° Light drizzle · European (ECMWF): 9° Heavy drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 9° Light drizzle.

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Gosforth weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for North East England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for North East England…

Gosforth weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Gosforth swings 17°C across the year, from 19°C highs in July to 2°C lows in January, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 708 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 5 days a year at 25°C or above, 32 frost nights, and rain on 156 days.

Warmest month
July
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
November
708 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
24,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
5 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
32 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
156 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Gosforth’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Gosforth and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Gosforth hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Gosforth 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
11° 5°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
10° 8°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
15° 7°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 9°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
13° 9°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
13° 7°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
12° 9°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
12° 8°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
11° 6°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
11° 6°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
8° 4°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
8° 3°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
8° 2°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
8° 2°
±4°

Gosforth, England is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 708 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Gosforth right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Gosforth climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
7°
2°
Feb
8°
2°
Mar
9°
2°
Apr
11°
4°
May
14°
6°
Jun
17°
9°
Jul
19°
12°
Aug
19°
12°
Sep
16°
9°
Oct
13°
7°
Nov
9°
4°
Dec
7°
2°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Gosforth has changed since 1995

Gosforth sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Newcastle upon Tyne. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Newcastle upon Tyne page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Gosforth?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C97±0.9 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C94±1.8 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
81
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C96±1.2 mph5877% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°11° to 12°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°9° to 10°±58%42% to 100% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°±13%87% to 100% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°±32%35% to 67% chance
Wed±2°12° to 14°±50%17% to 67% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Gosforth

today, local time
Sunrise
07:53
Sunset
17:46
Daylight
9h 53m

Common questions

What's the weather in Gosforth today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Gosforth today. Tomorrow: rain, around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Gosforth today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Gosforth on Sunday 25 October: Met Office 100%, European 70%, American 42%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Gosforth?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Gosforth (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Gosforth?
July is typically the warmest month in Gosforth, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Gosforth get?
The coldest month in Gosforth is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Gosforth get?
Gosforth sees roughly 708 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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