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CheckWeather UKNeath
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Neath weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 24° in Neath today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 19°, with a 100% chance of rain.

24°14°
19°15°
17°11°
17°11°
17°12°
19°13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
25°
Rain
Today 25°·Low 14°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
23°
Drizzle
Today 23°·Low 13°·Rain 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
25°
Light drizzle
Today 25°·Low 14°·Rain 43%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Neath and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
24° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
19° 15°
models agree
Tue
Rain
17° 11°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Thu
Rain
17° 12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
19° 13°
±3°
Sat
Drizzle
18° 11°
±3°
Sun
Rain
19° 16°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
19° 14°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
18° 13°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
18° 10°
±5°
Thu
Drizzle
18° 10°
±5°
Fri
Light rain
17° 11°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
17°
±5°

Neath, Wales is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 2143 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Neath right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Neath climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
17°
10°
Jun
19°
12°
Jul
19°
13°
Aug
19°
13°
Sep
19°
13°
Oct
15°
10°
Nov
11°
Dec
10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Neath?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C97±0.8 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
84
/100rank #2
88±0.6°C97±1.0 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
77±1.3°C89±3.4 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°23° to 25°±47%43% to 90% chance
Tomorrow±1°18° to 19°±32%68% to 100% chance
Tue±1°16° to 18°±1%96% to 97% chance
Wed±2°16° to 18°±23%12% to 35% chance
Thu±1°17° to 18°±15%61% to 76% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Neath

today, local time
Sunrise
06:35
Sunset
19:51
Daylight
13h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Neath today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Neath today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Neath today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Neath and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Neath?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Neath (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the Met Office at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Neath?
June is typically the warmest month in Neath, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Neath get?
The coldest month in Neath is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Neath get?
Neath sees roughly 2143 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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