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CheckWeather UK›Briton Ferry
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Briton Ferry weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Briton Ferry today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 12°, with a 75% chance of rain.

16°8°
12°9°
16°10°
16°10°
14°10°
14°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
16°
Rain
Today 16°·Low 8°·Rain 100%
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Rain
Today 15°·Low 7°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Showers
Today 16°·Low 9°·Rain 100%
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Briton Ferry weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Wales

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Wales…

Briton Ferry weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Briton Ferry swings 16°C across the year, from 19°C highs in June to 3°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1506 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 8 days a year at 25°C or above, 16 frost nights, and rain on 199 days.

Warmest month
June
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
3°C average low
Wettest month
October
1506 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
35,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
97/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
8 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
16 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
199 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Briton Ferry’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Briton Ferry and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Briton Ferry hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Briton Ferry 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
16° 8°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
12° 9°
models agree
Mon
Rain
16° 10°
models agree
Tue
Rain
16° 10°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
14° 10°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
14° 10°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
15° 10°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
14° 8°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
11° 7°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
12° 7°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
10° 5°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
10° 5°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
10° 4°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
10° 5°
±5°

Briton Ferry, Wales is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1506 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Briton Ferry right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Briton Ferry climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
8°
3°
Feb
8°
3°
Mar
9°
4°
Apr
11°
5°
May
16°
9°
Jun
19°
11°
Jul
19°
13°
Aug
19°
13°
Sep
18°
12°
Oct
14°
9°
Nov
10°
5°
Dec
8°
4°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Briton Ferry has changed since 1995

Briton Ferry sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Swansea. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Swansea page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Briton Ferry?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C97±0.8 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
86
/100rank #2
92±0.5°C96±1.3 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C86±4.4 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°15° to 16°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°12° to 12°±42%33% to 75% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°±6%94% to 100% chance
Wedmodels agree14° to 15°±36%33% to 69% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Briton Ferry

today, local time
Sunrise
07:55
Sunset
18:03
Daylight
10h 8m

Common questions

What's the weather in Briton Ferry today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Briton Ferry today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 12°, with a 75% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Briton Ferry today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Briton Ferry on Sunday 25 October: Met Office 33%, European 45%, American 75%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Briton Ferry?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Briton Ferry (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the Met Office at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Briton Ferry?
June is typically the warmest month in Briton Ferry, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Briton Ferry get?
The coldest month in Briton Ferry is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Briton Ferry get?
Briton Ferry sees roughly 1506 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

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