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Nailsworth weather

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Nailsworth weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for West Midlands

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for West Midlands…

Nailsworth weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Nailsworth swings 19°C across the year, from 21°C highs in August to 2°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 862 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 13 days a year at 25°C or above, 2 of them at 30°C or above, 31 frost nights, and rain on 147 days.

Warmest month
August
21°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
862 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
5,394
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
13 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
31 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
147 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Nailsworth’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Nailsworth and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Nailsworth hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Nailsworth 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Nailsworth, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 862 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Nailsworth right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Nailsworth climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
7°
2°
Feb
8°
2°
Mar
9°
3°
Apr
12°
5°
May
16°
8°
Jun
19°
10°
Jul
20°
12°
Aug
21°
13°
Sep
18°
11°
Oct
14°
8°
Nov
10°
5°
Dec
7°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Nailsworth has changed since 1995

Nailsworth sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Bristol. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Bristol page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Nailsworth?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C98±0.7 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C94±2.0 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
84
/100rank #3
94±0.3°C94±1.8 mph6581% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Nailsworth today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Nailsworth today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Nailsworth today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Nailsworth and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Nailsworth?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Nailsworth (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Nailsworth?
August is typically the warmest month in Nailsworth, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Nailsworth get?
The coldest month in Nailsworth is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Nailsworth get?
Nailsworth sees roughly 862 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

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