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CheckWeather UK›Llantwit Major

Llantwit Major weather

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Met OfficeUKMO model
14°
Light rain
Feels 9° · Wind 23 mph · Humidity 91%
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Rain
Feels 9° · Wind 24 mph · Humidity 95%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Rain
Feels 7° · Wind 31 mph · Humidity 95%

Latest for Llantwit Major: Met Office (UKMO model): 14° Light rain · European (ECMWF): 14° Rain · American (NOAA GFS): 13° Rain.

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Llantwit Major weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Wales

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Wales…

Llantwit Major weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Llantwit Major swings 16°C across the year, from 19°C highs in August to 3°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1311 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 5 days a year at 25°C or above, 14 frost nights, and rain on 177 days.

Warmest month
August
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
3°C average low
Wettest month
October
1311 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
14,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
90/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
5 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
14 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
177 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Llantwit Major’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Llantwit Major and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Llantwit Major hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Llantwit Major 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Llantwit Major, Wales is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1311 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Llantwit Major right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Llantwit Major climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
8°
3°
Feb
8°
3°
Mar
9°
5°
Apr
11°
5°
May
15°
9°
Jun
18°
11°
Jul
18°
14°
Aug
19°
14°
Sep
18°
12°
Oct
14°
10°
Nov
10°
6°
Dec
8°
5°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Llantwit Major has changed since 1995

Llantwit Major sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Swansea. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Swansea page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Llantwit Major?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C94±1.8 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
87
/100rank #2
92±0.4°C94±1.8 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #3
92±0.4°C95±1.7 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Llantwit Major today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Llantwit Major today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Llantwit Major today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Llantwit Major and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Llantwit Major?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Llantwit Major (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the Met Office at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Llantwit Major?
August is typically the warmest month in Llantwit Major, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Llantwit Major get?
The coldest month in Llantwit Major is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Llantwit Major get?
Llantwit Major sees roughly 1311 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

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