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CheckWeather UK›Kilkeel

Kilkeel weather

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Met OfficeUKMO model
14°
Light rain
Feels 10° · Wind 20 mph · Humidity 92%
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Drizzle
Feels 7° · Wind 24 mph · Humidity 93%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Rain
Feels 9° · Wind 24 mph · Humidity 97%

Latest for Kilkeel: Met Office (UKMO model): 14° Light rain · European (ECMWF): 12° Drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 13° Rain.

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Kilkeel weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Northern Ireland

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Northern Ireland…

Kilkeel weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Kilkeel swings 14°C across the year, from 17°C highs in August to 3°C lows in February, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1208 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 0 days a year at 25°C or above, 5 frost nights, and rain on 176 days.

Warmest month
August
17°C average high
Coldest month
February
3°C average low
Wettest month
December
1208 mm a year
Comfortable
2 months
July and August
Residents
6,447
share this forecast
Most accurate here
Met Office
85/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
0 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
5 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
176 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Kilkeel’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Kilkeel and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Kilkeel hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Kilkeel 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Kilkeel, Northern Ireland is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 17°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1208 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Kilkeel right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Kilkeel climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
7°
4°
Feb
7°
3°
Mar
8°
4°
Apr
10°
5°
May
12°
8°
Jun
15°
10°
Jul
16°
12°
Aug
17°
12°
Sep
15°
10°
Oct
12°
9°
Nov
9°
5°
Dec
8°
5°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Kilkeel has changed since 1995

Kilkeel sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Newry. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Newry page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Kilkeel?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
Met Office logo
Met Office ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
85±0.8°C91±2.7 mph8290% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
92±0.4°C92±2.4 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
78
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C93±2.1 mph5877% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Kilkeel today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Kilkeel today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Kilkeel today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Kilkeel and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kilkeel?
Over the last 30 days, the Met Office model has been the most accurate for Kilkeel (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kilkeel?
August is typically the warmest month in Kilkeel, with average highs around 17°C.
How cold does Kilkeel get?
The coldest month in Kilkeel is February, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Kilkeel get?
Kilkeel sees roughly 1208 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

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