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Chelsfield weather

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Met OfficeUKMO model
11°
Light rain
Feels 7° · Wind 17 mph · Humidity 92%
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Light rain
Feels 6° · Wind 20 mph · Humidity 94%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 6° · Wind 22 mph · Humidity 91%

Latest for Chelsfield: Met Office (UKMO model): 11° Light rain · European (ECMWF): 11° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 11° Heavy drizzle.

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Chelsfield weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for London & South East England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for London & South East England…

Chelsfield weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Chelsfield swings 19°C across the year, from 21°C highs in August to 2°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 707 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 16 days a year at 25°C or above, 2 of them at 30°C or above, 27 frost nights, and rain on 136 days.

Warmest month
August
21°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
707 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
15,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
Met Office
93/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
16 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
27 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
136 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Chelsfield’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Chelsfield and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Chelsfield hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Chelsfield 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Chelsfield, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 707 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Chelsfield right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Chelsfield climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
7°
2°
Feb
8°
2°
Mar
9°
4°
Apr
12°
5°
May
16°
8°
Jun
20°
10°
Jul
20°
13°
Aug
21°
13°
Sep
18°
11°
Oct
14°
8°
Nov
10°
5°
Dec
7°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Chelsfield has changed since 1995

Chelsfield sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as London. That square ran 0.7°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the London page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Chelsfield?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
Met Office logo
Met Office ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C96±1.3 mph8994% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
European logo
European
92
/100rank #2
96±0.2°C98±0.6 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #3
93±0.4°C94±1.8 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Chelsfield today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Chelsfield today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Chelsfield today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Chelsfield and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Chelsfield?
Over the last 30 days, the Met Office model has been the most accurate for Chelsfield (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the European at 92. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Chelsfield?
August is typically the warmest month in Chelsfield, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Chelsfield get?
The coldest month in Chelsfield is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Chelsfield get?
Chelsfield sees roughly 707 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

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