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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Hayes weather

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Light rain,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 18° in Hayes today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 19°, with a 0% chance of rain.

18°14°
19°11°
19°11°
20°14°
21°13°
21°14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°Fridaymodels agreeSaturdaysplit ±2°Sundaysplit ±4°
Met OfficeUKMO model
14°
Light rain
Feels 14° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 94%
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 14° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 89%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Light rain
Feels 13° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 91%

Latest for Hayes: Met Office (UKMO model): 14° Light rain · European (ECMWF): 15° Heavy drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 14° Light rain.

Hayes weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Hayes swings 20°C across the year, from 22°C highs in August to 2°C lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 888 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
22°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
September
888 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
16,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Hayes and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
18° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
19° 11°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
19° 11°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 14°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
21° 13°
±2°
Sun
Light drizzle
21° 14°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
23° 14°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
23° 16°
±5°
Wed
Rain
19° 14°
±3°
Thu
Rain
19° 13°
±4°
Fri
Partly cloudy
20° 12°
±3°
Sat
Partly cloudy
22° 12°
±3°
Sun
Mostly clear
23° 13°
±5°
Mon
Clear
22° 13°
±10°

Hayes, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 888 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Hayes right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Hayes climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
17°
Jun
21°
11°
Jul
21°
13°
Aug
22°
13°
Sep
20°
12°
Oct
16°
10°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in the UK?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C97±1.0 mph8793% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
85
/100rank #2
88±0.6°C96±1.3 mph7385% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C93±2.2 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°18° to 18°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°18° to 19°models agree0% to 0% chance
Thu±4°17° to 21°±30%21% to 51% chance
Fri±1°20° to 21°±41%32% to 73% chance
Sat±2°20° to 23°±19%15% to 34% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hayes

today, local time
Sunrise
06:24
Sunset
19:31
Daylight
13h 7m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hayes today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Hayes today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Hayes today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Hayes and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hayes?
No single model is always right. Met Office, European, American each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Hayes forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested UK accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Hayes?
August is typically the warmest month in Hayes, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Hayes get?
The coldest month in Hayes is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Hayes get?
Hayes sees roughly 888 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

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