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CheckWeather UKShirley
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Shirley weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 24° in Shirley today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 19°, with a 100% chance of rain.

24°17°
19°14°
20°12°
20°12°
21°15°
22°13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agreeSaturdaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
15°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 15° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 93%
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 15° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 84%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 13° · Wind 10 mph · Humidity 88%

Latest for Shirley: Met Office (UKMO model): 15° Heavy drizzle · European (ECMWF): 15° Heavy drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 14° Heavy drizzle.

Shirley weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Shirley swings 20°C across the year, from 22°C highs in August to 2°C lows in January, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 888 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
August
22°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
September
888 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
14,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Shirley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
24° 17°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
19° 14°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
20° 12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
20° 12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 15°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
22° 13°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
24° 16°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
23° 14°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 15°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
22° 14°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 12°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
18° 11°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
20° 11°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
20° 13°
models agree

Shirley, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 888 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Shirley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Shirley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
17°
Jun
21°
11°
Jul
21°
13°
Aug
22°
13°
Sep
20°
12°
Oct
16°
10°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Shirley?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C94±1.8 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
84
/100rank #2
83±0.9°C97±1.1 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C93±2.2 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree24° to 24°±17%2% to 19% chance
Tomorrow±4°17° to 21°±13%87% to 100% chance
Wed±2°19° to 21°±6%0% to 6% chance
Thu±1°20° to 21°±37%6% to 43% chance
Fri±1°20° to 21°±16%29% to 45% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Shirley

today, local time
Sunrise
06:22
Sunset
19:33
Daylight
13h 11m

Common questions

What's the weather in Shirley today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Shirley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Shirley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Shirley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Shirley?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Shirley (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the Met Office at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Shirley?
August is typically the warmest month in Shirley, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Shirley get?
The coldest month in Shirley is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Shirley get?
Shirley sees roughly 888 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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