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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Canterbury weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 24° in Canterbury today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 26°, with a 20% chance of rain.

24°13°
26°17°
19°14°
20°11°
20°11°
23°15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°Fridaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 12°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Light drizzle
Today 24°·Low 14°·Rain 20%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Light drizzle
Today 24°·Low 13°·Rain 7%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Canterbury and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
24° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
26° 17°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
19° 14°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
20° 11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
20° 11°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
23° 15°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
22° 12°
±3°
Sun
Drizzle
24° 15°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
24° 14°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 15°
±4°
Wed
Drizzle
20° 14°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
22° 12°
±8°
Fri
Light rain
20° 13°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
19° 12°
±3°

Canterbury, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 916 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Canterbury right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Canterbury climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
10°
Mar
11°
Apr
13°
May
17°
Jun
20°
12°
Jul
21°
14°
Aug
22°
14°
Sep
21°
13°
Oct
16°
10°
Nov
11°
Dec
10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Canterbury?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C98±0.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
86
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C97±1.0 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
79±1.2°C91±2.7 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree24° to 24°±13%7% to 20% chance
Tomorrow±3°25° to 27°±9%11% to 20% chance
Tue±3°18° to 21°±13%45% to 58% chance
Wed±1°20° to 21°±1%3% to 4% chance
Thu±4°18° to 22°±5%14% to 19% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Canterbury

today, local time
Sunrise
06:16
Sunset
19:31
Daylight
13h 15m

Common questions

What's the weather in Canterbury today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Canterbury today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Canterbury today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Canterbury and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Canterbury?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Canterbury (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the Met Office at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Canterbury?
August is typically the warmest month in Canterbury, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Canterbury get?
The coldest month in Canterbury is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Canterbury get?
Canterbury sees roughly 916 mm of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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