Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather UK›Ashford
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Ashford weather

Loading live data…

Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Ashford today. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 15°, with a 100% chance of rain.

16°6°
15°8°
16°8°
16°10°
15°8°
13°8°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
11°
Light rain
Feels 8° · Wind 13 mph · Humidity 95%
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Light rain
Feels 8° · Wind 15 mph · Humidity 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Drizzle
Feels 7° · Wind 19 mph · Humidity 91%

Latest for Ashford: Met Office (UKMO model): 11° Light rain · European (ECMWF): 12° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 11° Drizzle.

CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Ashford weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for London & South East England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for London & South East England…

Ashford weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Ashford swings 19°C across the year, from 21°C highs in July to 2°C lows in January, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 743 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 14 days a year at 25°C or above, 2 of them at 30°C or above, 24 frost nights, and rain on 140 days.

Warmest month
July
21°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
November
743 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
63,000
share this forecast
Warm days
14 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
24 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
140 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Ashford’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Ashford and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Ashford hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Ashford 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
16° 6°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
15° 8°
±3°
Mon
Drizzle
16° 8°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
15° 8°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
13° 8°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
15° 9°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
12° 8°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
11° 6°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
11° 5°
±4°
Tue
Partly cloudy
13° 7°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
12° 5°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
8° 3°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
9° 3°
models agree

Ashford, England is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 743 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Ashford right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Ashford climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
8°
2°
Feb
8°
2°
Mar
9°
4°
Apr
11°
5°
May
16°
8°
Jun
19°
11°
Jul
21°
13°
Aug
21°
13°
Sep
18°
11°
Oct
14°
8°
Nov
11°
5°
Dec
7°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Ashford has changed since 1995

Ashford sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Hastings. That square ran 0.7°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Hastings page.

Which forecast is most accurate in the UK?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.0 mph8793% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
85
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C95±1.5 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C93±2.1 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
Loading ratings…
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°15° to 16°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±3°13° to 16°models agree100% to 100% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°±38%62% to 100% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±60%40% to 100% chance
Wedmodels agree15° to 15°±5%0% to 5% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Ashford

today, local time
Sunrise
07:35
Sunset
17:45
Daylight
10h 10m

Common questions

What's the weather in Ashford today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Ashford today. Tomorrow: heavy drizzle, around 15°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Ashford today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Ashford on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 100% (Met Office 100%, European 100%, American 100%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ashford?
No single model is always right. Met Office, European, American each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Ashford forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested UK accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Ashford?
July is typically the warmest month in Ashford, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Ashford get?
The coldest month in Ashford is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Ashford get?
Ashford sees roughly 743 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More UK weather