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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Birtley weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Birtley today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 11°, with a 6% chance of rain.

11°8°
11°8°
11°9°
11°9°
11°9°
10°8°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agreeSaturdaymodels agreeSundaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
8°
Overcast
Feels 6° · Wind 5 mph · Humidity 88%
EuropeanECMWF
10°
Overcast
Feels 7° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 74%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Overcast
Feels 7° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 74%

Latest for Birtley: Met Office (UKMO model): 8° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 10° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 10° Overcast.

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Birtley weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for North East England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for North East England…

Birtley weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Birtley swings 17°C across the year, from 19°C highs in July to 2°C lows in January, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 656 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
19°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
November
656 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
11,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Birtley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Birtley hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Birtley 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
11° 8°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
11° 8°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
11° 9°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
11° 9°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
11° 9°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
10° 8°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
11° 7°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
10° 6°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
9° 7°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
9° 7°
±2°
Fri
Cloudy
10° 8°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
10° 7°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
10° 7°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
10° 7°
models agree

Birtley, England is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 656 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Birtley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Birtley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
7°
2°
Feb
7°
2°
Mar
8°
2°
Apr
11°
4°
May
14°
6°
Jun
17°
9°
Jul
19°
12°
Aug
19°
12°
Sep
16°
9°
Oct
12°
7°
Nov
9°
4°
Dec
6°
2°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Birtley has changed since 1995

Birtley sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Newcastle upon Tyne. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Newcastle upon Tyne page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Birtley?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C96±1.3 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C96±1.3 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
80
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C95±1.7 mph5877% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree10° to 11°±68%32% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°11° to 11°±6%0% to 6% chance
Thu±1°10° to 11°±19%14% to 33% chance
Fri±1°10° to 12°±23%10% to 33% chance
Sat±1°10° to 11°±46%21% to 67% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Birtley

today, local time
Sunrise
07:13
Sunset
16:25
Daylight
9h 12m

Common questions

What's the weather in Birtley today?
Tuesday 3 November: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Birtley today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 11°, with a 6% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Birtley today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Birtley on Wednesday 4 November: no model gives more than 6% (Met Office 0%, European 6%, American 3%). On Tuesday 3 November the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Birtley?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Birtley (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Birtley?
July is typically the warmest month in Birtley, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Birtley get?
The coldest month in Birtley is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Birtley get?
Birtley sees roughly 656 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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