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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Washington weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Washington today. Tomorrow: rain, around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain.

11°5°
10°8°
15°7°
16°9°
13°9°
13°8°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
11°
Light rain
Today 11°·Low 5°·Rain 100%
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Heavy drizzle
Today 11°·Low 5°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Light rain
Today 12°·Low 5°·Rain 100%
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Washington weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for North East England

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for North East England…

Washington weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Washington swings 17°C across the year, from 19°C highs in July to 2°C lows in February, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 673 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 2 days a year at 25°C or above, 24 frost nights, and rain on 158 days.

Warmest month
July
19°C average high
Coldest month
February
2°C average low
Wettest month
November
673 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
67,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
2 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
24 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
158 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Washington’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Washington and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Washington hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Washington 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
11° 5°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
10° 8°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
15° 7°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 9°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
13° 9°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
13° 8°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
12° 9°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
12° 8°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
11° 7°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
11° 7°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
8° 5°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
8° 3°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
8° 2°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
8° 2°
±5°

Washington, England is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 19°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around 2°C), with roughly 673 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Washington right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Washington climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
7°
3°
Feb
8°
2°
Mar
8°
3°
Apr
11°
5°
May
14°
8°
Jun
16°
10°
Jul
19°
12°
Aug
19°
12°
Sep
16°
10°
Oct
13°
7°
Nov
9°
4°
Dec
7°
2°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Washington has changed since 1995

Washington sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Sunderland. That square ran 0.3°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Sunderland page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Washington?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±0.8 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
79
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C94±1.9 mph5877% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C96±1.3 mph4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°11° to 12°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree10° to 10°±58%42% to 100% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°±13%87% to 100% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°±32%35% to 67% chance
Wed±2°12° to 14°±16%17% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Washington

today, local time
Sunrise
07:53
Sunset
17:46
Daylight
9h 53m

Common questions

What's the weather in Washington today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Washington today. Tomorrow: rain, around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Washington today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Washington on Sunday 25 October: Met Office 100%, European 70%, American 42%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Washington?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Washington (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the Met Office at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Washington?
July is typically the warmest month in Washington, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Washington get?
The coldest month in Washington is February, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Washington get?
Washington sees roughly 673 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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