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CheckWeather UKArbroath
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Arbroath weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Arbroath's high today between 17° and 19°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 17°, with a 60% chance of rain.

18°13°
17°12°
16°11°
17°10°
16°
18°12°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
18°
Rain
Today 18°·Low 13°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Light drizzle
Today 19°·Low 13°·Rain 69%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Light rain
Today 17°·Low 13°·Rain 54%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Arbroath and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
18° 13°
±2°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
17° 12°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
17° 10°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
16°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
18° 12°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
16° 12°
±2°
Mon
Light drizzle
18° 10°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
15° 10°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
17° 10°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
15°
±4°

Arbroath, Scotland is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 18°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1024 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Arbroath right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Arbroath climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
10°
May
14°
Jun
16°
10°
Jul
17°
11°
Aug
18°
12°
Sep
16°
10°
Oct
12°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Arbroath?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
Met Office logo
Met Office ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
88±0.6°C96±1.2 mph8290% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
European logo
European
87
/100rank #2
94±0.3°C97±0.9 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C93±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°17° to 19°±15%54% to 69% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree17° to 17°±15%45% to 60% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±33%25% to 58% chance
Wed±2°16° to 18°±6%4% to 10% chance
Thu±3°15° to 18°±24%16% to 40% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Arbroath

today, local time
Sunrise
06:23
Sunset
19:53
Daylight
13h 30m

Common questions

What's the weather in Arbroath today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Arbroath today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Arbroath today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Arbroath and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Arbroath?
Over the last 30 days, the Met Office model has been the most accurate for Arbroath (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the European at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Arbroath?
August is typically the warmest month in Arbroath, with average highs around 18°C.
How cold does Arbroath get?
The coldest month in Arbroath is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Arbroath get?
Arbroath sees roughly 1024 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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