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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Saint Andrews weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 10° in Saint Andrews today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain.

10°4°
10°7°
14°7°
15°8°
12°8°
12°9°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
10°
Rain
Today 10°·Low 4°·Rain 100%
EuropeanECMWF
10°
Light rain
Today 10°·Low 4°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Showers
Today 11°·Low 4°·Rain 100%
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Saint Andrews weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Central, Tayside & Fife

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Central, Tayside & Fife…

Saint Andrews weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Saint Andrews swings 16°C across the year, from 18°C highs in July to 2°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 741 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 1 day a year at 25°C or above, 28 frost nights, and rain on 158 days.

Warmest month
July
18°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
October
741 mm a year
Comfortable
3 months
June, July and August
Residents
18,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
90/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
1 day
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
28 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
158 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Saint Andrews’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Saint Andrews and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Saint Andrews hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Saint Andrews 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
10° 4°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
10° 7°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
14° 7°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
15° 8°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
12° 8°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
12° 9°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
12° 8°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
11° 7°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
11° 8°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
11° 5°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
8° 3°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
8° 3°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
7° 1°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
8° 2°
±4°

Saint Andrews, Scotland is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 18°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 741 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Saint Andrews right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Saint Andrews climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
7°
2°
Feb
7°
2°
Mar
8°
3°
Apr
10°
5°
May
13°
7°
Jun
16°
9°
Jul
18°
12°
Aug
18°
11°
Sep
15°
9°
Oct
12°
7°
Nov
9°
4°
Dec
7°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Saint Andrews has changed since 1995

Saint Andrews sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Arbroath. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Arbroath page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Saint Andrews?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±0.6 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
89
/100rank #2
95±0.3°C96±1.3 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C92±2.6 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°10° to 11°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°9° to 11°±5%95% to 100% chance
Mon±1°13° to 14°±7%93% to 100% chance
Tuemodels agree15° to 15°±48%52% to 100% chance
Wed±2°11° to 13°±11%22% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Saint Andrews

today, local time
Sunrise
08:02
Sunset
17:47
Daylight
9h 45m

Common questions

What's the weather in Saint Andrews today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 10° in Saint Andrews today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Saint Andrews today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Saint Andrews on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 95% (Met Office 100%, European 96%, American 95%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Saint Andrews?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Saint Andrews (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the Met Office at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Saint Andrews?
July is typically the warmest month in Saint Andrews, with average highs around 18°C.
How cold does Saint Andrews get?
The coldest month in Saint Andrews is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Saint Andrews get?
Saint Andrews sees roughly 741 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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