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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Montrose weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 10° in Montrose today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain.

10°3°
10°7°
13°6°
15°8°
12°7°
12°6°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
9°
Light rain
Feels 3° · Wind 26 mph · Humidity 91%
EuropeanECMWF
9°
Light rain
Feels 1° · Wind 30 mph · Humidity 89%
AmericanNOAA GFS
9°
Light rain
Feels 1° · Wind 35 mph · Humidity 92%

Latest for Montrose: Met Office (UKMO model): 9° Light rain · European (ECMWF): 9° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 9° Light rain.

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Montrose weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Grampian

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Grampian…

Montrose weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Montrose swings 16°C across the year, from 17°C highs in July to 1°C lows in February, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 833 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 1 day a year at 25°C or above, 30 frost nights, and rain on 164 days.

Warmest month
July
17°C average high
Coldest month
February
1°C average low
Wettest month
October
833 mm a year
Comfortable
2 months
July and August
Residents
12,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
1 day
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
30 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
164 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Montrose’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Montrose and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Montrose hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Montrose 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
10° 3°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
10° 7°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
13° 6°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
15° 8°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
12° 7°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
12° 6°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
11° 8°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
11° 7°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
11° 7°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
11° 5°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
8° 4°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
8° 2°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
8° 1°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
8° 1°
±5°

Montrose, Scotland is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 17°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around 1°C), with roughly 833 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Montrose right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Montrose climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
6°
2°
Feb
7°
1°
Mar
8°
3°
Apr
10°
5°
May
12°
6°
Jun
15°
9°
Jul
17°
11°
Aug
17°
11°
Sep
15°
9°
Oct
12°
7°
Nov
9°
3°
Dec
7°
2°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Montrose has changed since 1995

Montrose sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Arbroath. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Arbroath page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Montrose?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
97±0.1°C97±0.8 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C92±2.6 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
78
/100rank #3
94±0.3°C94±1.8 mph4771% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°10° to 11°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°9° to 10°±12%88% to 100% chance
Mon±2°12° to 13°±9%91% to 100% chance
Tue±1°14° to 16°±40%60% to 100% chance
Wed±2°11° to 13°±11%22% to 33% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Montrose

today, local time
Sunrise
08:01
Sunset
17:45
Daylight
9h 44m

Common questions

What's the weather in Montrose today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 10° in Montrose today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Montrose today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Montrose on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 88% (Met Office 100%, European 88%, American 90%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Montrose?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Montrose (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Montrose?
July is typically the warmest month in Montrose, with average highs around 17°C.
How cold does Montrose get?
The coldest month in Montrose is February, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Montrose get?
Montrose sees roughly 833 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

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