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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Whitianga weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Whitianga today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 20°, with a 4% chance of rain.

22°9°
20°10°
20°10°
20°12°
19°10°
20°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Mostly clear
Today 21°·Low 9°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low 10°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 8°·Rain 0%
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Whitianga weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Whitianga swings 17°C across the year, from 23°C highs in February to 6°C lows in August, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1668 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
23°C average high
Coldest month
August
6°C average low
Wettest month
July
1668 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
6,230
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Whitianga and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Whitianga hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Whitianga 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
22° 9°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
20° 10°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
20° 10°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
20° 12°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
19° 10°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 11°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
19° 12°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
21° 10°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
19° 10°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
19° 16°
±4°
Tue
Light rain
20° 13°
±2°
Wed
Light drizzle
18° 13°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 10°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 10°
±4°

Whitianga, New Zealand is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 6°C), with roughly 1668 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Whitianga right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Whitianga climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
22°
16°
Feb
23°
16°
Mar
23°
14°
Apr
20°
13°
May
17°
11°
Jun
15°
9°
Jul
15°
8°
Aug
15°
6°
Sep
16°
9°
Oct
18°
11°
Nov
19°
11°
Dec
22°
14°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Whitianga has changed since 1995

Whitianga sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Thames. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Thames page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Whitianga?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C96±2.0 km/h7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
75
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C96±2.1 km/h4268% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
74
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C84±7.8 km/h5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°21° to 23°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°20° to 21°±4%0% to 4% chance
Mon±1°20° to 21°±8%0% to 8% chance
Tue±2°19° to 21°±9%90% to 99% chance
Wed±1°19° to 20°±43%12% to 55% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Whitianga

today, local time
Sunrise
06:21
Sunset
19:41
Daylight
13h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Whitianga today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Whitianga today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 20°, with a 4% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Whitianga today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Whitianga on Sunday 25 October: no model gives more than 4% (European 4%, American 0%, German 0%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Whitianga?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Whitianga (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the German at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Whitianga?
February is typically the warmest month in Whitianga, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Whitianga get?
The coldest month in Whitianga is August, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Whitianga get?
Whitianga sees roughly 1668 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

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