Papakura weather
Loading live data…Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow
European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 20° in Papakura today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 18°, with a 19% chance of rain.
Latest for Papakura: European (ECMWF): 11° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 10° Partly cloudy · German (DWD ICON): 12° Overcast.
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.Papakura weather in numbers
from 30 years of measured normalsPapakura swings 16°C across the year, from 23°C highs in February to 7°C lows in August, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1165 mm of precipitation.
The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Papakura and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Papakura hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three modelsRain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by sideLoading the three models…
Papakura 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they splitPapakura, New Zealand. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Papakura right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Papakura's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.
Papakura weather by month
what to expect in Papakura through the year, 1991-2020 averagesHere is Papakura's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Papakura by season.
What Papakura's weather is like through the year
Papakura runs from warm summers, with February highs near 23°C, to cool winters, when August lows sit around 7°C (a swing of about 16°C across the year). July is usually the wettest month, and Papakura sees roughly 1165 mm of precipitation annually.
Best time to visit Papakura
The most comfortable time to visit Papakura is usually January, February, March and April, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest July rain is behind you.
How the weather around Papakura has changed since 1995
Papakura sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Auckland. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Auckland page.
Which forecast is most accurate in Papakura?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Papakura, scoring 88/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the German at 83. See the full NZ accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
What do you think of the forecasts?
your vote countsThe accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.