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CheckWeather NZPapatoetoe
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Papatoetoe weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 17° in Papatoetoe today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 17°, with a 100% chance of rain.

17°10°
17°12°
15°
15°
14°
14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°Fridaysplit ±2°
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Drizzle
Feels 14° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Drizzle
Feels 14° · Wind 17 km/h · Humidity 86%
GermanDWD ICON
17°
Light showers
Feels 14° · Wind 22 km/h · Humidity 74%

Latest for Papatoetoe: European (ECMWF): 15° Drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 16° Drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 17° Light showers.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Papatoetoe and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
17° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
17° 12°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15°
±2°
Wed
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
14°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
14°
±2°
Sat
Light drizzle
14° 11°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
15° 11°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
16° 12°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
17° 12°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
16° 12°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
16° 10°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
12°
±5°

Papatoetoe, New Zealand. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Papatoetoe right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Papatoetoe's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Papatoetoe weather by month

what to expect in Papatoetoe through the year

Here is Papatoetoe's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Papatoetoe by season.

Jan
23°
17°
Warm
Wettest
Feb
23°
17°
Warm
Mar
21°
14°
Mild
Apr
20°
14°
Mild
May
17°
12°
Mild
Jun
16°
10°
Mild
Jul
14°
Cool
Aug
15°
Mild
Sep
16°
11°
Mild
Oct
17°
12°
Mild
Nov
19°
13°
Mild
Dec
22°
16°
Warm

What Papatoetoe's weather is like through the year

Papatoetoe runs from warm summers, with January highs near 23°C, to cool winters, when August lows sit around 8°C (a swing of about 15°C across the year). January is usually the wettest month, and Papatoetoe sees roughly 1417 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Papatoetoe

The most comfortable time to visit Papatoetoe is usually February, March, April and May, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Papatoetoe?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
92±0.5°C95±2.3 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C97±1.7 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
86
/100rank #3
93±0.4°C96±1.9 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Papatoetoe, scoring 94/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 87. See the full NZ accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°17° to 17°±86%8% to 94% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree16° to 17°±7%93% to 100% chance
Tue±2°14° to 17°±24%8% to 32% chance
Wed±1°15° to 16°±32%13% to 45% chance
Thu±4°13° to 16°±39%55% to 94% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Papatoetoe

today, local time
Sunrise
06:34
Sunset
18:03
Daylight
11h 29m

Common questions

What's the weather in Papatoetoe today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Papatoetoe today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Papatoetoe today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Papatoetoe and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Papatoetoe?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Papatoetoe (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Papatoetoe?
January is typically the warmest month in Papatoetoe, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Papatoetoe get?
The coldest month in Papatoetoe is August, when overnight lows average about 8°C.
How much rain does Papatoetoe get?
Papatoetoe sees roughly 1417 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Papatoetoe?
The most comfortable time to visit Papatoetoe is usually February, March, April and May, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Papatoetoe?
Rarely - Papatoetoe very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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