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Every New Zealand forecast, compared
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CheckWeather NZMangere
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Mangere weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 17° in Mangere today. Tomorrow looks heavy drizzle around 16°, with a 100% chance of rain.

17°10°
16°12°
15°10°
15°
15°
14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±2°
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Feels 13° · Wind 30 km/h · Humidity 83%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Light drizzle
Feels 14° · Wind 17 km/h · Humidity 84%
GermanDWD ICON
16°
Light showers
Feels 14° · Wind 20 km/h · Humidity 82%

Latest for Mangere: European (ECMWF): 16° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 16° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 16° Light showers.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Mangere and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
16° 12°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15° 10°
±2°
Wed
Drizzle
15°
models agree
Thu
Heavy drizzle
15°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
14°
±2°
Sat
Cloudy
14° 11°
±2°
Sun
Light drizzle
15° 12°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
16° 12°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
17° 13°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
16° 12°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
16° 11°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
14° 10°
±2°
Sat
Cloudy
13° 10°
±6°

Mangere, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 8°C), with roughly 1417 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Mangere right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Mangere climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
23°
17°
Feb
23°
17°
Mar
21°
14°
Apr
20°
14°
May
17°
12°
Jun
16°
10°
Jul
14°
Aug
15°
Sep
16°
11°
Oct
17°
12°
Nov
19°
13°
Dec
22°
16°

Which forecast is most accurate in Mangere?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C92±3.8 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C97±1.7 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
86
/100rank #3
93±0.4°C96±1.9 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°17° to 17°±43%8% to 51% chance
Tomorrow±1°16° to 17°±7%93% to 100% chance
Tue±2°14° to 17°±24%8% to 32% chance
Wed±2°14° to 16°±28%13% to 41% chance
Thu±3°13° to 16°±38%55% to 93% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mangere

today, local time
Sunrise
06:34
Sunset
18:04
Daylight
11h 30m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mangere today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Mangere today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mangere today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Mangere and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mangere?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mangere (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mangere?
January is typically the warmest month in Mangere, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Mangere get?
The coldest month in Mangere is August, when overnight lows average about 8°C.
How much rain does Mangere get?
Mangere sees roughly 1417 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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