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Every New Zealand forecast, compared
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CheckWeather NZTuakau
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Tuakau weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 17° in Tuakau today. Tomorrow looks showers around 16°, with a 100% chance of rain.

17°
16°10°
15°
15°
14°
13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Drizzle
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 82%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Light drizzle
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 15%
GermanDWD ICON
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 8%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Tuakau and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
17°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
16° 10°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15°
±2°
Wed
Drizzle
15°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
14°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
13°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
14°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
15° 10°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
17° 10°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 12°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
15°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
13°
±5°

Tuakau, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 7°C), with roughly 1458 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Tuakau right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Tuakau climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
23°
16°
Feb
23°
15°
Mar
20°
13°
Apr
19°
13°
May
17°
10°
Jun
15°
Jul
14°
Aug
14°
Sep
16°
Oct
17°
10°
Nov
19°
12°
Dec
22°
15°

Which forecast is most accurate in Tuakau?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±1.1 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
86
/100rank #2
93±0.4°C95±2.4 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
83
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C81±9.7 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 237 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree17° to 17°±74%8% to 82% chance
Tomorrow±1°16° to 17°±12%88% to 100% chance
Tue±2°14° to 17°±25%14% to 39% chance
Wed±2°15° to 17°±26%19% to 45% chance
Thu±3°13° to 16°±41%53% to 94% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Tuakau

today, local time
Sunrise
06:34
Sunset
18:02
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Tuakau today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Tuakau today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Tuakau today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Tuakau and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tuakau?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Tuakau (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the German at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Tuakau?
January is typically the warmest month in Tuakau, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Tuakau get?
The coldest month in Tuakau is August, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Tuakau get?
Tuakau sees roughly 1458 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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