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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Homedale weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Homedale today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 17°, with a 2% chance of rain.

16°12°
17°12°
15°13°
15°9°
16°8°
18°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±2°
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Mainly clear
Feels 9° · Wind 22 km/h · Humidity 96%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Mainly clear
Feels 9° · Wind 23 km/h · Humidity 88%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Partly cloudy
Feels 11° · Wind 20 km/h · Humidity 84%

Latest for Homedale: European (ECMWF): 12° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 12° Mainly clear · German (DWD ICON): 14° Partly cloudy.

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Homedale weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Homedale swings 14°C across the year, from 20°C highs in January to 6°C lows in June, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1364 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
20°C average high
Coldest month
June
6°C average low
Wettest month
July
1364 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
6,270
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Homedale and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Homedale hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Homedale 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
16° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
17° 12°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
15° 13°
models agree
Tue
Heavy rain
15° 9°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16° 8°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 10°
±2°
Fri
Mostly clear
15° 8°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
17° 9°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
16° 9°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
14° 9°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
17° 9°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
18° 7°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
20° 8°
models agree

Homedale, New Zealand is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 6°C), with roughly 1364 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Homedale right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand before you trust any single number.

Homedale climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
20°
13°
Feb
20°
14°
Mar
19°
13°
Apr
17°
11°
May
14°
9°
Jun
12°
6°
Jul
11°
6°
Aug
11°
6°
Sep
13°
7°
Oct
15°
9°
Nov
16°
10°
Dec
18°
12°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Homedale has changed since 1995

Homedale sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Wellington. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Wellington page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Homedale?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C92±4.0 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
84
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C92±4.1 km/h7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
79
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C94±3.0 km/h5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 244 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in New Zealand, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree16° to 16°±65%0% to 65% chance
Tomorrow±1°16° to 17°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°±85%3% to 88% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°±9%91% to 100% chance
Wed±2°15° to 17°±19%9% to 28% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Homedale

today, local time
Sunrise
06:18
Sunset
19:51
Daylight
13h 33m

Common questions

What's the weather in Homedale today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Homedale today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 17°, with a 2% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Homedale today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Homedale on Sunday 25 October: no model gives more than 2% (European 2%, American 0%, German 0%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 65%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Homedale?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Homedale (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the German at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Homedale?
January is typically the warmest month in Homedale, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Homedale get?
The coldest month in Homedale is June, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Homedale get?
Homedale sees roughly 1364 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

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